The Magic Millions is done and dusted at the Gold Coast and now it goes on the road, starting at Pinjarra this Saturday for their Magic Millions Raceday. The weather is overcast, the track is soft (5) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
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Race One (15:51) : Mandura Hyundai Maiden 1400m:
Back Me: 8 Cayman Bound (Best Odds: $5.00) looks the one to beat here. He resumed at Albany and stuck on well in defeat before going to Ascot a fortnight back where he had a nice sit just off the speed and chased hard all the way when a close up third to Mouquet. Should be ready now third up from a spell and rates highly.
Big Danger: 1 And So Am I (Best Odds: $11.00) is on the seven day turnaround after racing over 1200m at Ascot last Saturday where he did a really good job in defeat. He got a mile back in the run and closed off strongly late to run second to Faulty. Suited up in trip, and draws to sit wide with cover and ambush.
Long Shot: 13 Universal Mae (Best Odds: $9.00) ran over 1200m at the midweeks at Ascot on January 21 and despite her long price she ran well, closing off late to run third to Dolly Em. Form out of that has been okay and she will love a genuine tempo here.
Race Two (16:33) : Sign Strategy Handicap (1MW) 1000m:
Back Me: 4 More Aces (Best Odds: $5.00) is a talented three year old that resumes for Jim Taylor. He had a brilliant opening prep, winning three of four races with a second placing the lone defeat. Looks destined for blacktype and looked to trial quite nicely to my eye recently at Belmont. Clearly the one to beat.
Big Danger: 2 Seeker (Best Odds: $5.50) ran down the straight on January 25 in a similar kind of race and gee he was really impressive, darting clear late when asked by Kate Witten, who remains on. Draws a touch awkwardly given it is down the straight, but gets in well at the weights again and looks a threat.
Long Shot: 8 Universal Moon (Best Odds: $17.00) ran second to Seeker in that race mentioned above and she looked to travel well on speed but she just lacked the turn of foot to go with Seeker. She has been for a long time, but continues to race well at this level and she does have the pace to carve over and get to the outside rail.
Race Three (17:11) : Andrew Ralph Jewellers Handicap (66+) 2000m:
Back Me: 4 First Affair (Best Odds: $4.60) is on the seven day turnaround after racing over 1500m at Ascot last Saturday where she got a long way back in the run before ducking and weaving his way through the field to run a close up fourth to Baraki Beats. Up to 2000m is a big tick, should get a decent pace in front of her…looks the one.
Big Danger: 13 Romelo (Best Odds: $7.00) looks the key threat. He ran over the Ascot mile three weeks back where he got a long way back and was wide, though with cover. Took his time to wind up but was good late behind First Affair. Gets a nice little weight pull from that horse here and maps much better.
Long Shot: 8 Battle Torque (Best Odds: $13.00) is a stablemate of First Affair that ran over 1800m at the midweeks at Ascot last Wednesday where he was back near last in the run and had to make long sustained run but was outbobbed on the peg by Russian River. That effort should really toughen him up for this assignment and he certainly has winning claims.
Race Four (17:50) : Thomas Sabo Handicap (78+) 1600m:
Back Me: 3 Pounamu (Best Odds: $4.00) for me in a really strong mile race. He hasn’t raced for 42 days since racing over 1500m at Ascot where he really toughed it out strongly under Carbery to get the job done narrowly but impressively. Break between runs should be no issue and is the one to beat.
Big Danger: 6 Falcon Crest (Best Odds: $4.50) is a really good horse that I have a lot of time for. He resumed over 1400m at Ascot and he was a real eye catcher late, finishing off strongly to run fourth to Settlers Creek. He will be better at 2000m but hard to ignore what he did fresh.
Long Shot: Will be interested to see 12 Already Famous (Best Odds: $16.00) goes here. First up off a 56 day break where he let down strongly to win over 2200m at Ascot. 1600m would normally be short of his best, but when you consider this is a rain affected track, and he is bred to handle it, I think he has to included in exotics.
Race Five (18:25) : Woodford Reserve Magic Millions 3YO Trophy 1200m:
Back Me: 10 Enchanted Dream (Best Odds: $4.40) is the hard fit filly in super form at the moment. She is two from two this time in and has been quite impressive each time she has stepped out. Broke the Maiden impressively over 1300m here before stepping up to 1400m and easily accounting for her rivals. Rates highly here.
Big Danger: 8 Ellicazoom (Best Odds: $1.55) is a star filly who was touted as a leading contender for the Kingston Town but the stable kept their powder dry and sent her to the paddock. Back now and looks to have come back in super order based on her trial effort recently. Only has to overcome the gate to be a winning chance, and a serious one at that.
Long Shot: 5 Parading (Best Odds: $41.00) is a handy looking filly that is first up. Kicked off her career during the Winter and ran four times for a win and three solid efforts in town in what has turned out to be strong form races. No trials, so fitness levels are unknown, but is above average and there should be a market watch.
Race Six (19:00) : Throughbred Breeders WA Pearl Classic 1300m:
Back Me: 6 Miss Sondrio (Best Odds: $5.00) is a sparingly raced mare who is building up a really nice record. Strung together a number of wins before going to Bunbury where she beat all bar the above average sprinter Just Act Natural. Fast tempo here will really suit her and she rates highly for me.
Big Danger: 3 Blackwood (Best Odds: $5.00) is a talented mare that resumes for Fred Kersley. She hasn’t really recaptured her three year old form where she was ultra competitive at Group l level but she hasn’t been far away. She can sprint well fresh and I liked her recent trial effort when not knocked about.
Long Shot: 15 Celebrity Dream (Best Odds: $5.00) was very good first up behind Red Paddy at Ascot before going to Pinjarra (Metro) where I thought she was a good thing but she let me and the punters down badly with a plain sixth to Secret Minx. I am putting that down to second up syndrome, so I am expecting her to bounce back hard third up.
Race Seven (19:40) : Magic Millions 2YO Classic 1200m:
Back Me: 3 The Shoe (Best Odds: $6.50) is a handy youngster for Stephen Miller that debuted a few weeks back over 1200m at Pinjarra where he settled off the pace and came with a nice turn of foot to get the job done. Has since trialled and won that impressively. Confident he can get the job done here despite the gate.
Big Danger: 2 Kentoo (Best Odds: $7.00) is on the seven day turnaround after debuting at Ascot last Saturday where he sat out the back in the run and looked to be going nowhere until the final 150m where he really savaged the line and got the win in the last stride. Looks very promising and I think he can measure up to these.
Long Shot: 13 Iz That Right (Best Odds: $101.00) doesn’t deserve to be a $101 chance. Just completely forget she went around last start. The saddle slipped, race wide no cover for the trip and to add to that, her tongue got over the bit. The breed clearly prefer the soft ground, which is what she gets here, and the debut run was solid enough.
Race Eight (20:20) : Gannons Racing Colours Handicap (72+) 1200m:
Back Me: 9 Red Paddy (Best Odds: $4.40) was three weeks between runs when racing at Ascot last Saturday where he sat near the speed and fought on very strongly when running second to Its It. He has won on the seven day turnaround before and he does have the fitness edge on Material Man. Definite threat.
Big Danger: 4 Man Booker (Best Odds: $6.00) booked is such an intriguing runner here. 2015 WA Guineas winner that has only raced three times since that win, one of those being in the Kingston Town. Been given a really good break and has trialled very nicely leading in. Class will take him a long way if he brings his best.
Long Shot: 7 Red Publisher (Best Odds: $8.50) was very good in defeat when racing a fortnight back at Ascot given he raced wide no cover for the trip and despite that tough run, gee he fought on strongly to be beaten a lip by Settlers Creek. Just needs better luck here to go close and he is bred to handle cushion in the surface.
BEST BET: Race Eight Number 9 Red Paddy
NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 10 Enchanted Dream
VALUE: Race Seven Number 3 The Shoe
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 8, 10
Leg Two: 1, 3, 5, 6, 15
Leg Three: 1, 2, 3
Leg Four: 9
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