Over The Odds 6/4/2024 – Saturday’s Horse Racing Value Tips and Bets

Ladbrokes have got their markets out for racing this Saturday, and we have tried to find four runners that appears overs in betting.

Randwick Race Three Number 15 Passima ($21):

Lot of these are tired and want the paddock. Passima doesn’t want that for Ciaron Maher and his maiden win at Warwick Farm was outstanding. He gave them a start and a beating, producing outstanding late splits with 60.5kg to win in a big effort, with around four weeks between runs. Tends to race best on the fresh side, no issue with 1600m and won’t mind juice in the track.

Randwick Race Five Number 9 Sharp Shock ($19):

I thought my futures tickets on Sharp Shock was complete confetti given he ran second in the Wildcard and assumed he wasn’t able to get a run. But, he’s here and for mine, he is one of the hardest to beat. He placed in the Newcastle Stakes behind Bandi’s Boy before going to the Wildcard at Scone and surged hard late from last, just missing out on getting the win. He’ll love getting to Randwick, juice in the track, strong late…great gamble.

Randwick Race Six Number 3 Traffic Warden ($8.50):

Traffic Warden is flying for James Cummings and he does strike me as a horse that reminds me of Anamoe when he was a two year old. He was a dominant winner of the VRC Sires before going to the Slipper where he had zero luck in the straight and you could make a case to say he goes close to winning with clear air behind Lady Of Camelot. He’ll eat up 1400m, and with a more positive steer, he can take this out.

Randwick Race Seven Number 9 Bella Nipotina ($13):

I am really surprised the price that Bella Nipotina is. Was she going to beat Imperatriz in the William Reid? No, but she should have run a place. She was given zero hope by John Allen in a very negative ride when fourth. She loves Randwick, she loves give in the track, she gets Craig Williams and for mine, she has always looked like this prep she has been half a run away from fitness. I think she’ll run a beauty and is the each way gamble.