The Final Field for the 2020 Melbourne Cup has been released and we have 24 quality stayers set to line-up in this years edition of the race that stops a nation.
We take a look at each of the 24 horses in the Melbourne Cup Field and we provide Video Form for each of them including the International horses in the field.
The best way to find the Melbourne Cup winner is to watch each of the horses lead-up runs heading into the race and luckily for you we have done all the hard work to find these races and list them below.
Melbourne Cup ๐:ย View the BEST ODDS on the Melbourne Cup
Anthony Van Dyck
Odds ๐ฐ: $9.50
Breeding: Galileo x Believe’N’Succeed
Trainer: Aidan O’Brien
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Barrier:ย 3
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 18: 6-4-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1408m/2420m
Career Best Win: English Derby, June 1 2019, Epsom, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 11: 4-2-3
Wet Track Stats: 7: 2-2-0
Short Summary: Aidan O’Brien hasn’t quite ticked off the Australian racing box when it comes to domination. This guy went close in the Caulfield Cup and think he’ll do much the same in the Melbourne Cup.
Coronation Cup (2414m), June 5 2020, Newmarket, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
I thought this was an outstanding resumption. Keep in mind that during this meeting and Carnival, those on speed or nearer the inside were advantaged, so for him to make up the ground he did off a classy animal, and go past the best stayer in the world, was a very good effort and confirmed that he’s well and truly up to matching it with the best Europe has to offer.
Prix Foy (2400m), September 13 2020, Longchamp, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Admittedly the tempo was a crawl, but credit to him, he took advantage of it, was strong to the line and was holding Stradivarius, and I don’t think there are many runners that hold a 2-0 record against the best stayer in the world and this win assured his place in the Arc should connections have elected to go there.
Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 17 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
I thought this was his best chance to win a major, but afterwards, I think he’s a legitimate Melbourne Cup threat. Had to make a sustained run in the Caulfield Cup, and he was first up, so entitled to run out of puff late and that is what happened, plus the courage of Verry Elleegant kicked in. Enormous effort.
Final Summary: This horse would have been ultra competitive in an Arc, so the fact that Aidan O’Brien put him in quarantine to come this way and tackle the big two races tells me he is so desperate to win one,. Given his record, 58.5kg seems fair enough. Went so close in the Caulfield Cup, but he’ll get a dry track now and will improve off that run. Serious winning hope.
Avilius
Odds ๐ฐ: $51.00
Breeding: Pivotal x Alessandria
Trainer: James Cummings
Jockey: John Allen
Barrier:ย 10
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 32: 11-3-4
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/2500m
Career Best Win: Tancred Stakes, March 30 2019, Rosehill, Heavy Surface
Dry Track Stats: 19: 6-2-2
Wet Track Stats: 13: 5-1-2
Short Summary: Been set for the race and would have been in the finish of the Caulfield Cup with a clear run. Outside winning hope.
George Main Stakes (1600m), September 19 2020, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
On face value, I thought he was plain, but watching the replay and looking at the sectionals, I just think he was run off his feet in a fast run race. Leader went sub 59 for the first 1000m, which is very quick, and Avilius, along with those behind, were just gassed in chasing from the outset. Visually, not good, but he had excuses.
Hill Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Much better effort from him here. Blinkers went on first time and they did spark improvement. Was able to sit much closer in the run and loomed to win, but Kolding is in a real purple patch at the moment and he was too good, running outstanding late splits. Good run from Avilius in defeat in what is shaping up to be solid Cox Plate form.
Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 17 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
The more I look at this race, the more I think he should have fought the finish out. He was bolting on the turn and I think had the gap remained open for him to burst through, he would have gone close to winning. Instead, got badly held up and lost all momentum. Once he did get clear, it was race over.
Final Summary: I think his time has passed when it comes to being a WFA horse ala Hartnell, and when they transferred him to being a handicap horse, yes he carried topweight on a number of occasions, but there was a reason for that – he had class, which is what Avilius is, and his 2400m+ record is very good. Should have gone close in the Caulfield Cup and with a Cummings being trainer, he’ll be popular.
Vow And Declare
Odds ๐ฐ: $46.00
Breeding: Declaration Of War x Geblitzt
Trainer: Danny O’Brien
Jockey:ย Jamie Mottย (late alt)
Barrier:ย 4
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 19: 4-3-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1800m/3200m
Career Best Win: Melbourne Cup, November 5 2019, Flemington, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 12: 2-3-2
Wet Track Stats: 7: 2-0-1
Short Summary: Ran so well in this race last year before winning the Melbourne Cup. Is he going as well in 2020? No.
Makybe Diva Stakes (1600m), September 12 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
This wasn’t a totally bad run. He was back near last in a very slowly run race, and considering the winner Fierce Impact went near sub 33 for his last 600m, those from the back had no chance. The run had merit given he was first up over an unsuitable trip.
Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
There was a thought process that he could be a knockout chance here if they rolled forward and that is what Olly did. Put him into the race from the outset and looked to be going well but when pressure was applied on the turn, he didn’t quicken and just whacked away in a plain effort.
Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 17 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
Dragged back to near last in the run and he didn’t really come in a pretty ordinary effort, but I will say he hates getting his toe, and even though the official rating was a Soft6, it was more a Heavy8, so don’t pen him off this run.
Final Summary: It’s difficult to dismiss a Danny O’Brien trained stayer, especially a reigning Melbourne Cup winner. I’m just not sure how well he is going and does go up 5kg from last year. I’ve got others ahead of him.
Master Of Reality
Odds ๐ฐ: $20.00
Breeding: Frankel x L’Ancresse
Trainer: Joseph O’Brien
Jockey:ย Ben Melham
Barrier: 11
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 17: 4-3-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2400m/2816m
Career Best Win: Vintage Crop Stakes, April 28 2019, Navan, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 6: 1-2-0
Wet Track Stats: 11: 3-1-2
Short Summary: Is 2020 all about Melbourne Cup redemption?
Melbourne Cup (3200m), November 5 2019, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
Did Frankie push the button early? Did the horse throw it away? Not 100% sure, but he was so brave in defeat and really, was only beaten the last two or three strides in an outstanding effort given the work he did early to find a spot.
Her Majesty’s Plate (2816m), September 4 2020, Down Royal, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
I would class this as barrier trial for prizemoney really. This was just a top off run before heading into quarantine. He did what was required and visually, very sharp, but bear in mind there has been close to 10 subsequent runs from the beaten brigade for no wins, and one of the beaten brigade is still a maiden, while another was beaten in a jumps race, so a a whole, he beat camels.
Final Summary: It’s difficult to dismiss a horse with the Lloyd Williams colours when it comes to the big races. He was so good in the Melbourne Cup last year and since then, the focus has been specifically set for the two miles. Has he got the quality to match it with some of these classy types? I’m not putting a line through him.
Sir Dragonet
Odds ๐ฐ: $12.00
Breeding: Camelot x Sparrow
Trainer: Ciaron Maher/David Eustace
Jockey: Glen Boss
Barrier: 14
Weight: 59kg
Nationality: Australian/Irish
Career Stats: 10: 3-4-0
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2040m/2505m
Career Best Win: Chester Vase, May 8 2019, Chester, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 3: 0-1-0
Wet Track Stats: 7: 3-3-0
Short Summary: Previous connections were hellbent on winning a Group l over 2000m. Box ticked for new connections…now is a leading Melbourne Cup contender.
Chester Vase (2458m), May 8 2019, Chester, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
This is what he is capable of. He gave them a proper spanking in the Coolmore colours. The form around him is mixed, but there is subsequent Group l winners in the race, so in that regard, a big tick for the form.
Gold Cup (2012m), July 26 2020, Curragh, Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
Loved the way he closed off here behind one of the best Mares in the business in Magical. Sir Dragonet was clearly no match for her, but closed off strongly and confirmed his ticket on the plane to Australia with interests from here buying into him.
Cox Plate (2040m), October 24 2020, Moonee Valley, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Heavy Surface
He was dominant, arrogant, classy and did it with something in hand. Not often you can say that about a Cox Plate winner but that is what he produced, with help from another peach big race ride from Bossy, who is so bullish about this horse being a Melbourne Cup contender.
Final Summary: Coolmore were hellbent on winning a 2000m Group l with him, so the Cox Plate seemed the logical race for him, maybe even the Mackinnon, but the new connections have purchased him with a Melbourne Cup in mind, so was the Cox Plate win a bonus? Maybe. The three times he has been at 2400m+, he has been very good, so he commands respect in whatever he contests.
Twilight Payment
Odds ๐ฐ: $26.00
Breeding: Teofilo x Dream On Buddy
Trainer: Joseph O’Brien
Jockey:ย Jye McNeil
Barrier: 12
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 30: 7-10-6
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2414m/3218m
Career Best Win: Curragh Cup, July 18 2020, Curragh, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 15: 3-6-2
Wet Track Stats: 15: 4-4-4
Short Summary: In terms of Joseph O’Brien/Lloyd Williams combo, he’s the #1 seed IMO
Curragh Cup (2816m), July 18 2020, Curragh, Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
Dominant, arrogant…whatever word you want to use, you can. He made an absolute mess of them, including the well fancied stablemate Master Of Reality, beating him by eight lengths, but it may as well have been further. He was outstanding.
Irish St Leger (2816m), September 13 2020, Curragh, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
This was a very good effort. Didn’t get the lead this time around and took a sit. Held up for a few strides before getting clear and I loved the way he found the line late, with a bob of the head being the difference from him finishing second, and a closing second.
Final Summary: He’s a much better horse than the one we saw in the Melbourne Cup last year. With the Lloyd Williams factor, I dare say eyes have been on the Melbourne Cup for 12 months, and I think he’s one of the leading contenders when it comes to the internationals.
Verry Elleegant
Odds ๐ฐ: $12.00
Breeding: Zed x Opulence
Trainer: Chris Waller
Jockey: Mark Zahra
Barrier:ย 15
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 24: 11-5-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1400m/2400m
Career Best Win: Caulfield Cup, October 17 2020, Caulfield, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 10: 2-2-1
Wet Track Stats: 14: 9-3-0
Short Summary: Clearly #1 seed for the Australian contingent and given her record, she does look very well in at the weights.
George Main Stakes (1600m), September 19 2020, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Looked to race a touch flat to the eye, but bear in mind she was four weeks between runs and the tempo was hot from the outset, so she was made to work. Did like her last 100m when eventually clear, screaming out of a horse wanting more ground.
Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
She was weighted to win this and duly saluted, but she excellent in winning given she had to make a sustained run into the breeze and was entitled to knock up late, but she kept finding and surged hard late to win, stamping herself as the one to beat from a local perspective in the Cups. She also put to bed the theory she’s no good on firm tracks.
Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 17 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
What an outstanding win this was. Courageous, classy, fighting…champion qualities came to the fore here. She was there to be run down by Anthony Van Dyck but kicked on so strongly and on the line was holding him. Brilliant performance.
Final Summary:If you’re looking purely at weights, Verry Elleegant is a near good thing. She is thrown in here considering her amazing record and really, should be carrying topweight. Outstanding Caulfield Cup triumph. She was there to be run down but showed great courage to fend off Anthony Van Dyck. I think 3200m will be fine for her, she can win on dry ground…there was disputing post Caulfield Cup that she’s not a champion…IMO she is, and a Melbourne Cup will cement her spot as one of the all time greats.
Mustajeer
Odds ๐ฐ: $71.00
Breeding: Medicean x Qelaan
Trainer: Kris Lees
Jockey:ย Michael Rodd
Barrier:ย 2
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 29: 5-5-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/2800m
Career Best Win: Ebor Handicap, August 24 2019, York, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 15: 1-2-2
Wet Track Stats: 14: 4-3-1
Short Summary: Has probably taken over the mantle of Big Duke. Honest, has been great for connections, but is battling to match it with the better types.
Kingston Town Stakes (2000m), September 19 2020, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
His late splits weren’t too bad in defeat I thought despite beating just one runner home. Was building nicely between the 800m-200m, but his condition just gave out late behind the in form Taikomochi. Form out of this race has been very suspect.
Metropolitan (2400m), October 3 2020, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Had specking at big odds and was held up for a few strides, but overall, he had his chance and just whacked away late, beaten some four lengths by Mirage Dancer in an okay effort without jumping up and down.
Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 17 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
Thought he was making up the numbers in this race, but he was very good late. Closed off with real purpose, albeit never really a winning threat behind Verry Elleegant, but the ensured he’ll take his place at Flemington.
Final Summary: Speaking to Jamie Lovett prior to the Metropolitan, he said the horse would need to run well there to warrant a trip to Melbourne. Was that run worthy of a trip? I’m saying no, but he got the weight relief in the Caulfield Cup and ran a much improved race. Big surprise if he won, but can finish first half of the field.
Stratum Albion
Odds ๐ฐ: $41.00
Breeding: Dansil x Lunar Phase
Trainer: Willie Mullins
Jockey:ย Jordan Childs
Barrier:ย 9
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 29: 6-8-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2012m/3621m
Career Best Win: Cesarewitch, October 12 2019, Newmarket, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 16: 3-4-2
Wet Track Stats: 13: 3-4-0
Short Summary: On form, zero chance…but has the Willie Mullins polish.
Cesarewitch (3621m), October 12 2019, Newmarket, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
Willie Mullins said after the race that he didn’t bring the horse because of what he was doing at home, it was more a throw at the stumps. Well, it was a Ricky Ponting style throw at the stumps as he beat 29 rivals in a real slog to the line in winning, and the form out of it has been strong with a stack of subsequent winners, including Who Dares Wins, a Royal Ascot winner earlier this year.
Lonsdale Cup (3270m), August 21 2020, York, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
This was clearly a career best effort on the flat for this guy, running second to a quality mare in Enbihaar, who has recently been retired. He stayed on quite strongly and albeit well held by the mare, he kept finding and was game in defeat in running second.
Final Summary: If it was any other trainer, I’d say zero chance. But we know Willie Mullins doesn’t bring camels to Australia and he does come here off the back of a career best flat run. If he is to win, or feature, he would want a wet track and for it to be a real staying contest.
Dashing Willoughby
Odds ๐ฐ: $67.00
Breeding: Nathaniel x Miss Dashwood
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Michael Walker
Barrier:ย 19
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 14: 4-2-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1739m/3264m
Career Best Win: Queen’s Vase, June 19 2019, Royal Ascot Ascot, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 7: 3-0-0
Wet Track Stats: 7: 1-2-1
Short Summary: He’ll stay. Just not 100% sure he’s got the brilliance.
Henry ll Stakes (3264m), July 5 2020, Sandown, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
This was a lovely ride from Oisin. Put him into the dream spot just off the speed before angling into clear air, putting them away and safely holding them to win well. The three runners that have subsequently raced from this event have all won so big tick for the form of this race.
Lonsdale Cup (3270m), October 5 2019, York, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
To the eye, he was pretty plain late nearer the inside, but as the Carnival progressed, the inside section of the track was quicksand and out wide was the spot to be, so I’d be forgiving of his weak finale when fourth to a quality mare in Enbihaar.
Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 17 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
Was too bad to be true here, sitting on speed and he was a beaten horse on the turn. Clearly something wasn’t right with him, so I think he has to be a total forgive for this run.
Final Summary: Australian interests purchased this guy with the Spring in mind and that form from Sandown does read very well. Well enough for him to win? I wouldn’t put a line through him, but have got others ahead of him.
Finche
Odds ๐ฐ: $18.00
Breeding: Frankel x Binche
Trainer: Chris Waller
Jockey:ย James McDonald
Barrier:ย 6
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 18: 4-1-5
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/2500m
Career Best Win: Kingston Town Stakes, September 21 2019, Randwick, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 10: 2-1-4
Wet Track Stats: 8: 2-0-1
Short Summary: He’s ticking along beautifully, much like last year when a gutsy fifth in this race.
Chelmsford Stakes (1600m), September 5 2020, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
More than a pass mark here. He was first up and chasing a pretty strong tempo and fought on really well in defeat, running third to Mister Sea Wolf, a stablemate who was heavily backed to win the race and was set up for it whereas this guy was first up with eyes on bigger things.
Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Whilst he is being set for the Cups, thought this was his chance to win a Group l. But he just for a couple of pairs further back than what Melham would have liked I dare say. Then had to take off halfway in the race given he was keen in the run. Courageous to fight on like he did, running a close up third.
Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 17 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
He was so brave, like he was in 2019. Wide and doing work throughout, he fought on so gamely to run fifth in a real cherry ripe Melbourne Cup trial, provided it hasn’t busted him.
Final Summary: He’s been set for the Melbourne Cup for the past two years and has run well in it. He’ll run well again I’m sure and was game in the Caulfeild Cup after doing work in the run. He’s the Bradley Cooper of horse racing. He’s got the looks. Has he got the x factor?
Prince Of Arran
Odds ๐ฐ: $10.00
Breeding: Shirocco x Storming Sioux
Trainer: Charlie Fellowes
Jockey: Jamie Kah
Barrier:ย 1
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 44: 6-8-8
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1609m/3200m
Career Best Win: French 2000 Guineas, May 13 2018, Longchamp, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 34: 6-6-7
Wet Track Stats: 10: 0-2-1
Short Summary: Despite being trained in the UK, he is nearly the most popular horse in Australia. He’s one of the hardest to beat here.
Gold Cup (4014m), June 18 2020, Royal Ascot, Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
Beaten by the best stayer in the world in Stradivarius. Plus, I also question him at 4000m, especially on wet ground, something he hates compared to firmer footing. Far from disgraced in defeat though behind the best in the business.
September Stakes (2413m), September 5 2020, Kempton Park, Clockwise Direction, Synthetic Surface
Running third to champion mare Enable is great to have on your CV and this is what Prince Of Arran did here, closing off strongly late in what was a lovely tick off before jetting to Australia for the third time.
Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 17 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
Continued on with his love affair with Australia. Dragged back from the wide gate and even though it was a 2400m race, he produced some of the best late splits of the meeting, so the run was outstanding and a lovely pipe opener for his main target.
Final Summary: Amazing record in Australia. No matter how he is going overseas, once he comes down under, he’s a different horse. If it’s a dry track come Melbourne Cup Day, he’s one of the key winning hopes.
Surprise Baby
Odds ๐ฐ: $8.00
Breeding: Shocking x Bula Baby
Trainer: Paul Preusker
Jockey: Craig Williams
Barrier:ย 7
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 13: 5-2-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1200m/3200m
Career Best Win: Bart Cummings, September 5 2019, Flemington, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 11: 4-2-1
Wet Track Stats: 2: 1-0-0
Short Summary: Been set for the for 12 months…his best can see him win…not convinced how well he is going though
Melbourne Cup (3200m), November 5 2019, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
Considering the pattern of the race, his run to get as close as he did was outstanding and I think with a half decent tempo, he goes very close to winning. This run confirmed that 12 months on, he would come back.
Feehan Stakes (1600m), September 5 2020, Moonee Valley, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Gutsy resumption from him here. Turned into a real sit/sprint, and given he was first up with a 3200m goal as a main target, he was going to be vulnerable. But, he found under pressure and only went down narrowly to a Valley specialist in Humidor.
Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
This is the run that has me concerned. Yes, he was poorly weighted, but still thought he was entitled to do a bit more. He didn’t quicken. Just ground to the line and was solid without being a real flashing light.
Final Summary: Paul Preusker has had eyes on this race since the first Tuesday in November of last year. The whole of 2020 has been designed to have him peak for this race. He does get a 3kg weight swing on Verry Elleegant from the Turnbull…is that enough to turn the tables? Time will tell. But I’m saying no.
King Of Leogrance
Odds ๐ฐ: $51.00
Breeding: Camelot x Amourette
Trainer: Danny O’Brien
Jockey:ย Damian Lane
Barrier:ย 18
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 15: 5-3-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/3200m
Career Best Win: Adelaide Cup, March 9 2020, Morphettville, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 13: 4-3-2
Wet Track Stats: 2: 1-0-1
Short Summary: I think he’s one of the leading chances. Sneaky flying this guy.
Andrew Ramsden (2800m), May 16 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Tried to earn ballot exemption for the Cup via a win here. He tried his heart out, but had a break between runs and perhaps was looking for the paddock when bloused late by Oceanex. Still, a gutsy effort with the weight.
Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
To the eye, it was a plain run, but there was a severe wind this meeting and he ran some very sharp splits into it down the side and on the turn. By the time he straightened up, he was out of gas and tired. Run was better than what it looks.
Geelong Cup (2400m), October 21 2020, Geelong, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Lovely tune up for the Cup. Peach ride by Lane bar one thing – staying inside. The inside was clearly the no go zone for the meeting. Was there to win, but second up, reckon his condition and being in inferior ground just told late, finishing third.
Final Summary: I said after the Adelaide Cup that Danny O’Brien had one hand on another Melbourne Cup. This guy was arrogant in the way he won that day and the plan has always been the Melbourne Cup. He’s been set for the race, he’s got fresh legs, gets weight relief…I think he’s right in the race up to his ears.
Russian Camelot
Odds ๐ฐ: $12.00
Breeding: Camelot x Lady Babooshka
Trainer: Danny O’Brien
Jockey: Damien Oliver
Barrier:ย 16
Weight: 53.5kg
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 9: 4-3-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1200m/2500m
Career Best Win: Underwood Stakes, September 26 2020, Caulfield, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 4: 1-3-0
Wet Track Stats: 5: 3-0-1
Short Summary: Is he the great Aussie hope? On current form, it’s a no, but he’s x factor.
Underwood Stakes (1800m), September 26 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
Very positive steer from Olly to get him on speed and relax pretty well in the run. 800m out, you knew it was race over and he duly took care of them, winning with something in hand and showing his love, once again, for wet ground.
Caulfield Stakes (2000m), October 10 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Can’t make any excuses for him here. He was very disappointing. He pulled hard yes, but he was in open air and ready to launch early enough. Beaten fair and square by Arcadia Queen and on the line, safely held. The positive was that there was a gap to third.
Cox Plate (2040m), October 24 2020, Moonee Valley, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Heavy Surface
Given the pattern of the meeting suiting those near the front, Olly had to ride him positive and I thought it was a 12/10 steer. He was there to win on the turn but just wasn’t good enough and had to settle for a third to Sir Dragonet.
Final Summary: I think he needs give in the track, so with fine weather forecast, likely a firm deck, then that becomes a problem for him, and while all the signs are there to say he will run 3200m, he’s yet to really rubber stamp it, and the last couple have me concerned. I think of the big guns near the top of the betting, he’s the one I want to risk the most.
Steel Prince
Odds ๐ฐ: $41.00
Breeding: Nathaniel x Steel Princess
Trainer: Team Freedman
Jockey:ย William Pike
Barrier:ย 21
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 26: 9-5-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1800m/2800m
Career Best Win: Geelong Cup, October 21 2020, Geelong, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 21: 9-4-3
Wet Track Stats: 5: 0-1-0
Short Summary: Far from disgraced in the race last year…and I think he’s going much better 12 months on. Knockout hope.
Naturalism Stakes (2000m), September 19 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
This was a very good run in a high rating race. Market knew he would run well, with intention to ride more positively and it worked. He was very good in defeat behind Orderofthegarter, and the form out of the race has been quite strong.
Bart Cummings (2500m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
I think had he drawn a good gate, he wins. Just got stuck wide from the barrier and did plenty of work in the run. Fought on very well in defeat I thought behind Persan.
Geelong Cup (2400m), October 21 2020, Geelong, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
This win secured his spot in the field. Punters wanted to be with him and he got the job done under a lovely ride from Jye McNeil, who put him into the perfect spot just behind the speed and in a driving go, finished best.
Final Summary: He has real timing about him this guy. Hasn’t done much wrong this time in and looks to be peaking at the right time. Ran well in the race last year, but think he’ll go much better this time around. A win wouldn’t shock.
The Chosen One
Odds ๐ฐ: $34.00
Breeding: Savabeel x The Glitzy One
Trainer: Baker/Forsman
Jockey:ย Daniel Stackhouse
Barrier:ย 5
Nationality: New Zealand
Career Stats: 26: 6-3-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1400m/2400m
Career Best Win: Herbert Power, October 12 2019, Caulfield, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 12: 4-1-0
Wet Track Stats: 14: 2-2-2
Short Summary: Strong Caulfield Cup effort…he’s a top ten chance.
Underwood Stakes (1800m), September 26 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Brilliant first up win and following that, he ran here. Tempo was somewhat against him, but still thought he was entitled to do a bit more and have to mark him down as quite disappointing.
Herbert Power (2400m), October 10 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Total forgive run here I thought. Was wide no cover for the trip and really had no chance of winning. Yes, beat two runners home and was beaten five lengths, but he had excuses. Total forgive.
Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 17 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
The Blinkers went on, so there was intent to run well, and that he did. He was brave in defeat and stuck on well when third to a couple of high class gallopers in Verry Elleegant and Anthony Van Dyck, but had his chance.
Final Summary: The Blinkers back on did signal intent, and he ran well in the Caulfield Cup. Has he got the quality to win a Melbourne Cup? I’m saying no, but he is honest and will stay, so I feel he’s a top ten chance at best.
Ashrun
Odds ๐ฐ: $26.00
Breeding: Authorized x Ashantee
Trainer: Andreas Wohler
Jockey:Declan Batesย (late alt)
Barrier: 24
Nationality: German
Career Stats: 13: 4-2-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2200m/2500m
Career Best Win: Prix De Reux, August 4 2019, Deauville, Firm Surface
Dry Track Stats: 7: 3-1-0
Wet Track Stats: 4: 1-1-1
Short Summary: Not sure he’s got the A1 form to win, but does have the Wohler/Australian Bloodstock combo, which won the Melbourne Cup in 2014 with Protectionist.
Kergorlay (3000m), August 23 2020, Deauville, Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
Closed off really well here and confirmed his place on the plane to Australia. Call The Wind was never going to get beat the way it was going in the run, but I liked the way this guy found the line. The winner has placed behind Marmelo and Cross Counter, which is A1 Melbourne Cup form in recent years, so this form line has to be given a tick.
Geelong Cup (2400m), October 21 2020, Geelong, Anticlockwise Direction, Good Surface
Lexus Hotham Stakes (2500m), October 31 2020, Flemington, Anticlockwise Direction, Good Surface
Final Summary: Overall, I’m saying he’s not near the top of the seedings when it comes to the internationals, but I always respect Andreas Wohler when he brings one to Australia and he does look to have good upside and progression. His win in the Lexus Stakes shows he likes Flemington and the drop in weights will be a massive bonus. He should be running in the first half of the field.
Warning
Odds ๐ฐ: $51.00
Breeding: Declaration Of War x Livia
Trainer: Team Freedman
Jockey:ย Luke Currie
Barrier:ย 8
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 16: 2-1-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1800m/2500m
Career Best Win: Victoria Derby, November 2 2019, Flemington, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 8: 1-1-1
Wet Track Stats: 8: 1-0-2
Short Summary: Back to Flemington helps…but the Caulfield Cup run was a shocker
Makybe Diva Stakes (1600m), September 12 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Was close to $101 in betting here and while he was never a winning threat, I didn’t mind the way he finished his race off behind Fierce Impact in an encouraging return to the track, his firs run as a 4YO.
Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Hard to determine if this was a great effort, or exaggerated given he did no work early and was only asked for an effort late. The form looks good with Verry Elleegant, Finche and co in front, and he was warming to the task late.
Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 17 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
Was kept relatively safe in betting at around the $21 mark after two encouraging runs to start the prep, but he found absolutely nothing and was most disappointing. Perhaps down to Caulfield and not handling it?
Final Summary: I think he’ll be better suited at Flemington compared to Caulfield, so I can somewhat forgive the Caulfield Cup effort…but still, it was pretty ordinary and will need to improve big time.
Etah James
Odds ๐ฐ: $91.00
Breeding: Raise The Flag x Etah
Trainer: Maher/Eustace
Jockey:ย Billy Egan
Barrier:ย 22
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 32: 8-2-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/3200m
Career Best Win: Sydney Cup, April 11 2020, Randwick, Heavy Surface
Dry Track Stats: 20: 6-1-0
Wet Track Stats: 12: 2-1-1
Short Summary: Think she needs a wet track to be at best a top 12 contender. Dry track, making up the numbers.
Sydney Cup (3200m), April 11 2020, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Heavy Surface
Punters got this absolutely spot. As much as $51 was bet about her but come jump time, she started $14 and she duly saluted under Bossy in what was a real slog to the line, with this mare getting the win with the lightweight.
Metropolitan (2400m), October 3 2020, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
First up in a Metropolitan was an ask and her trials leading in suggested she wouldn’t be a winning threat. That’s how it panned out, finishing down the track behind Mirage Dancer. Form out of this race has been solid.
Moonee Valley Cup (2500m), October 24 2020, Moonee Valley, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Heavy Surface
Was a much better run from this mare. Had a good run in the race and tracked up quite well. Her condition just gave out late, finishing fourth to Miami Bound in a good effort that should have her ready fitness wise for Tuesday.
Final Summary: Dry track, I think she’s making up the numbers. A wet track, she can finish in the first half of the field. But the stable and their 2000m+ record is outstanding. Can’t see her winning.
Tiger Moth
Odds ๐ฐ: $6.50
Breeding: Galileo x Lesson In Humility
Trainer: Aidan O’Brien
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Barrier: 23
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 4: 2-1-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2012m/2414m
Career Best Win: Kilternan Stakes, September 12 2020, Leopardstown, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 3: 2-1-0
Wet Track Stats: 1: 0-0-1
Short Summary: Either he’s overrated…or he is a freak and he’ll win at start five and create history
Irish Derby (2414m), June 27 2020, Curragh, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
What a massive effort this was. Track was officially rated Good, but off raw times, it was Soft for sure. He chased strongly throughout in the straight in trying to wear down stablemate Santiago, and in another couple of strides, he wins. Remarkable effort to get as close as he did to win a Derby at start three.
Kilternan Stakes (2414m), September 12 2020, Leopardstown, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
I’ll start straight away that he beat nothing relative to what he will face here, but it was the manner in which he put them away and was strong to the line that impressed me under Ryan Moore, showing real class and arrogance in the run to the line.
Final Summary: As I said earlier, it’ll go two ways here. Either he’s overrated and flops or he’s a freak and will create history by winning this. Stable has already found Kerrin McEvoy to steer, who is looking to win his fourth Melbourne Cup, so a tick there. Aidan O’Brien desperately wants to win a Melbourne Cup…I think since he started bringing horses to Australia, this is without doubt his best chance of winning the Melbourne Cup with this horse.
Oceanex
Odds ๐ฐ: $71.00
Breeding: Ocean Park x Danex
Trainer: Price/Kent Jnr
Jockey:ย Dean Yendall
Barrier:ย 17
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 22: 5-4-4
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/2800m
Career Best Win: Andrew Ramsden, May 16 2020, Flemington, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 15: 4-4-1
Wet Track Stats: 7: 1-0-3
Short Summary: Think she needs a wet track to be at best a top 12 contender. Dry track, making up the numbers.
Handicap (1700m), September 12 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Surprisingly, there was a market push at odds for this girl to win first up. She got back to near last in the run and was never a real winning threat but liked the way she picked up at the end behind The Chosen One, who went on to place in the Caulfield Cup.
Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Really poorly weighted to win this race. They rode her quite warm in finding the front despite doing work. She looked to travel well and gave some form of kick but tired late. Noteworthy that there was a strong head breeze so leaders struggled.
Moonee Valley Cup (2500m), October 24 2020, Moonee Valley, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Heavy Surface
Much better effort from her. Did plenty of work in the run but took the lead on the turn and gave a strong kick, but couldn’t quite see it through and tired, but still whacked away gamely to run third.
Final Summary: Got her way into the race via the Andrew Ramsden win. Is she going well enough to win a Melbourne Cup? I’d say no, but is honest and I think 3200m will be okay for her.
Miami Bound
Odds ๐ฐ: $34.00
Breeding: Reliable Man x Arapaho Miss
Trainer: Danny O’Brien
Jockey:ย Daniel Moor
Barrier:ย 13
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 14: 5-0-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1400m/2500m
Career Best Win: VRC Oaks, November 7 2019, Flemington, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 9: 2-0-2
Wet Track Stats: 5: 3-0-0
Short Summary: Think she needs a wet track to be a chance. But doubt we get that, so happy to let her go through to the keeper.
JRA Cup (2040m), September 25 2020, Moonee Valley, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface
Kept pretty safe in betting but really, I don’t think she fired a shot and was most disappointing behind one of the better Moonee Valley gallopers going around in Al Galayel. Ordinary effort.
Hebert Power (2400m), October 10 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Rode her warm to try and sneak into the Caulfield Cup, but it didn’t really work. She got a tad keen in the run and left herself with not many petrol tickets for the straight behind Chapada.
Moonee Valley Cup (2500m), October 24 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Heavy Surface
Got her Cup spot via this win, and the ride from Jamie Kah was an absolute peach. She learned her lesson from the Herbert Power, let her find her own rhythm and from the 400m onwards, she wasn’t getting beat and was impressive.
Final Summary: An outside winning chance if this track was wet, but a likely firm deck means she is next to no hope despite the impressive last start performance at the Valley.
Persan
Odds ๐ฐ: $34.00
Breeding: Pierro x Ofcourseican
Trainer: Maher/Eustace
Jockey: Michael Dee
Barrier:ย 20
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 19: 6-4-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/2510m
Career Best Win: Bart Cummings, October 3 2020, Flemington, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 12: 2-3-1
Wet Track Stats: 7: 4-1-0
Short Summary: Think she needs a wet track to be at best a top 12 contender. Dry track, making up the numbers.
Handicap (2400m), August 29 2020, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
The query leading into this race was that he was over a month between runs, but he took on average opposition and he was much too good for them in a dominant display. Overall time nothing flash but he was impressive.
Quality (2500m), September 12 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Market wanted to be with him and he tried his guts out. Just couldn’t quite get the win and had to settle for a close up second to his stablemate, Lord Belvedere. Form out of the race has been solid enough.
Bart Cummings (2510m), October 3 2020, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface
Secured his spot on Tuesday with a win here. Gee I loved the ticker he showed to win. He was there to be run down but he kept finding under Jye McNeil, fending them off to win and capping off a remarkable rise in 2020.
Final Summary: The Maher/Eustace camp are unbelievable in 2000m+ races. The strike rate is around 27-28%, so that alone means this guy gets respect. He is bullet proof re racing pattern, he’s honest, tries hard…a win wouldn’t totally shock.
