The final Group l of the 2023/24 season for juveniles is the JJ Atkins (1600m) this Saturday at Eagle Farm.
Down below is a speed map, runner preview and $100 betting strategy for the 2024 JJ Atkins.
2024 JJ Atkins Speed Map
On paper, there is no designated leader, but I do think there are several go forward types. Bosustow, Zouna, My Artemisia and Bittercreek can press forward, and given he is the best horse in the race, do they take bad luck out of the equation with Broadsiding.
2024 JJ Atkins Runner Preview:
1. Broadsiding: Broadsiding looks the most obvious. James Cummings trained juvenile that won the Champagne at Randwick before being given a let up and racing in the BRC Sires two weeks ago where he gave them a start and a beating, launching late to finish over the top for a big, big win. He’s got room for improvement, up to the mile, class…could be a case of good luck beating him.
2. Zouna: IMO I thought he was flattered in the Sires. Yes, wide throughout, but wide was the better ground and he found the best section when making his move. Gets M Zahra aboard, but he has been off the boil big time the last couple of months. For mine, he’s unders.
3. Bittercreek: Did a bit of work from the wide gate to land near the speed and that early burn just told late when fourth to Broadsiding. If he gets across cheaply, off the win prior, he can run a positive race and is a must for exotics.
4. Beau Dazzler: Eye catcher last weekend in The Phoenix but that clearly looks inferior form.
5. Can’t Recall One: I am not dismissing Can’t Recall One. He resumed in the BRC Sires off an unusual set up where he had his third trial for the prep on the Tuesday before backing up a few days later in the Sires where he got back to last, was flat footed, but I didn’t mind his finale. I think he’ll be a far better horse on firmer footing, he’s been set for the race…he’s the clear overs.
6. Imperialist: Got a 12/10 from J Mac to win The Phoenix last Saturday but the depth there looked very thin and I can’t see that form standing up at all.
7. Smashing Time: Another from the Sires that looks value. He was ridden like it was a barrier trial and didn’t have the clearest of paths in the straight. That said, he was quite good late in the piece. Has a gate to settle much closer, and 1600m is fine.
8. Bosustow: Bosustow is a juvenile that has always shown talent for Annabel Neasham and he comes into this off the back of a maiden win at Doomben last Wednesday where he looked a good thing on paper and duly saluted. He has the engine under the hood to measure up I feel…I don’t think I could back him to win but is one to be entertained for exotics.
9. Barbaric Lad: Didn’t do a bad job in the Sires but he has to improve too much to threaten.
10. My Artemisia: My Artemisia should appreciate getting up to 1600m. Game effort over the trip two back on the Kenso before going to 1300m at Rosehill two weeks ago where he got back to near last in the run and found the line with purpose in a good effort behind Emirate, who looks a really nice juvenile. Back up in trip, he appeals.
11. China Sea: Just a debut win at Kembla but I thought the win had good merit to it and for mine, he looks destined for better races. Destined straight away? I say no.
12. El Morzillo: I thought she was a total forgive in the Sires given she was nearer the inside and that was the quicksand. Also, I thought she may have been ridden a touch too warm. I think getting to the outside and ridden with more patience, she can run a much improved race.
13. Aemelius: Given every chance last Saturday in The Phoenix and didn’t finish it off at all, run down late by Imperialist. Was 1200m to 1500m but still, I thought she was disappointing. Surprised she is as short as she is.
14. Pee Bee Noir: Better suited at Gatton, Dalby, Warwick etc etc.
2024 JJ Atkins $100 Betting Strategy:
Trying to make a profit to close out the year so going with the value, which for me is Can’t Recall One. $10 Win/$90 Place @ $81/$13 via TAB.
Group l Strategy Outlay: $6925
Group l Strategy Return: $5739
2024 JJ Atkins Odds:
