A capacity field has been assembled for the Queensland Oaks (2400m) this Saturday at Eagle Farm, where 2022 Golden Slipper winner Fireburn is a clear favourite.
Down below is a speed map, runner preview and $100 betting strategy for the 2023 Queensland Oaks.
Market 💰: View the Odds for the Queensland Oaks
2023 Queensland Oaks Speed Map
Sakura Girl did work to find the front in The Roses so I think she is one that will press forward, as will last start winner Let Me Reign. So Dazzling can sit handy while drawn well, Madame Odette can sit in the first few and use the gate to advantage.
2023 Queensland Oaks Runner Preview:
1. Fireburn: It’s hard to see anything other than a win for Fireburn and would create history by becoming the first Slipper winner since Bounding Away to win an Oaks. Her Roses win was arrogant. Yes, she bludged and saved the ground, but the change up speed when let down and easy she did it was something else, and seemingly with improvement to come. Ran well in the ATC Oaks so 2400m no issue and only has to hold her form to be winning.
2. Affaire A Suivre: Maher/Eustace in a staying race = respect. Comes here off the back of the SA Oaks win where she let down with real purpose to win impressively. That form has been pretty solid and she does give the impression that 2400m will be fine. Hard to beat I’d suggest but watch the late market flucs.
3. Renaissance Woman: Renaissance Woman is the key threat. She was a dominant winner of the Bracelet at the Sunny Coast before a game second to Fireburn in the Roses a fortnight back, where she got off the speed and was held up at times but was solid late albeit held comfortably by Fireburn. Off that effort, hard to see her turning the tables, but she runs well regardless.
4. So Dazzling: Didn’t fire a shot in the Rough Habit, a seemingly plain Rough Habit, and she does seem a filly that wants wet ground, something she won’t get here, so happy to let her go through to the keeper.
5. Tyresa: She had been teasing to be an Oaks filly but she was very plain in the Roses, and I can’t see her turning the tables and making up 10+ lengths on Fireburn. She’s going to struggle.
6. Noah ‘N’ A Deel: One that can pinch a first four spot. Got too far back in The Roses but didn’t mind the way she find the line late behind Fireburn. Eagle Farm 2400m looks ideal for her and she should be strong at the end. One for exotics.
7. Sakura Girl: Sakura Girl is an improver. Kiwi raider that was very game in defeat in the Roses given she was a few weeks between runs, keen, had to work to lead, and only was feeling the staggers very late in the piece. She is the one with the most improvement IMO from the Roses into this, and with her racing style, she’ll give herself every chance.
8. Super Chilled: Just missed out on the win two back behind Renaissance Woman before going to The Roses where she got a mile out of her ground and made up solid headway without threatening. J Mac sticks and if she is able to settle closer in the run, I think she’s dangerous at odds.
9. Madame Odette: Thought she was ticking along nicely but went to The Roses, did too much work to find a spot on speed and rightfully felt the pinch late, finishing down the track. I can’t see her threatening.
10. Let Me Reign: Think 2400m will be no issue given she chased a strong speed at Rosehill last time over 2000m and kept finding under pressure to win narrowly but impressively. Stable have had good success with Oaks races in the past so I wouldn’t pen her.
11. Divine Purpose: Good on Clinton Taylor for getting a runner in a Group l race. This girl kept on pretty well at Ipswich last time behind Sacred Mission, who was down the track in the Derby last Saturday. That looks like it is very sketchy form so I can’t entertain her.
12. Proscenium Arch: She has only won the one race but has talent. Ran in The Roses and kept finding the line from off the speed, finishing fourth to Fireburn. I think the 2400m will be no issue for her…could I back her to win? No, but I think a first four contender is her go.
13. Original Glaze: Good luck to connections for getting a Group l runner…but I’ll be surprised if she beats the ambulance home.
14. Cheval D’Or: Kiwi raider that comes here with fresh legs, having not raced since April 22 when breaking her maiden status at Group lll level at Pukekohe on testing ground over 2100m. The query I have with her is that three back, she was comfortably held by Sakura Girl, who was comfortably held by Fireburn in The Roses. Happy to risk.
15. Reo: Nice filly but she isn’t up to this level after a down the track effort in The Roses. 2400m a query, class/quality a query and just has to make up too much ground.
16. Yankee Hussel: This is the knockout. Total forgive after covering ground in The Bracelet before going to The Roses and I thought she was very good from near last behind Fireburn. Racing like 2400m will be ideal for her, she’ll be put to sleep and be stronger than most at the end.
17. Amokura: Heading in the right direction. Stablemate of Yankee Hussel that has won her past two, both over 1800m, two back winning at Newcastle before bolting up at the Sunny Coast. This is clearly a harder assignment but 2400m should be fine and stable gets D Oliver to steer, so I think watch the market.
18. Caring Lass: Nice filly for Matty Smith but she beat nothing at Gosford last time and she isn’t up to these.
19. Fireflies (First Emergency): Has done little wrong this time in for Cav but she’s not up to this level. Pass.
20. Kalea (Second Emergency): The 2400m will be no issue. But she won’t run it fast enough to trouble them.
21. Rockbarton Road (Third Emergency): Think she has an engine under the hood for Joe Cleary, but I don’t think she has the quality to measure up.
22. California Grass (Fourth Emergency): If she gets a run, I can entertain her given she was a dominant winner at Newcastle last time, giving them a start and a beating over 2300m. Has good upside, in a good camp and will have no issue with the trip. Unfortunately she is unlikely to get a run.
23. Artful Girl (Fifth Emergency): Not here.
2023 Queensland Oaks $100 Betting Strategy:
Think Fireburn is a good thing so having $100 Win on her.
Group 1 Strategy Outlay: $7250
Group 1 Strategy Return: $5309.50
