The Adelaide Racing Carnival wraps up this Saturday at Morphettville with the feature sprint race, the $500,000 Group l Tapestry Wines Goodwood (1200m), which has collected a reasonably strong field considering that the BTC Cup is on at Doomben also. Heading the field is the talented but frustrating galloper Bel Sprinter, who has yet to really hit any decent form since his placing behind Lucky Nine in the Krisflyer at Singapore this time last year. Defending champ Platelet returns, and she will be asked to carry 57kg from barrier 17 (15 if the emergencies come out). Barrier 15 has only had once success in history, so nearly everything is against her. Other notable races on the card include the $150,000 Group lll Tapestry Shiraz R A Lee Stakes (1600m) and the $115,000 Group lll Sportingbet Proud Miss Stakes (1200m).
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Race One (12:25) : Darley National Stakes 1200m Form Guide
Back Me: I don’t think this two year old race will last long in the memory bank. Going for a bit of value in the shape of She’s All That (Best Odds: $10.00). Was a drifter in betting on debut at Sale, and after settling last, she stormed home late for second. Steps up to Listed company, but this isn’t the strongest race going around, and with plenty of upside from the race day experience, I’ll be in her corner.
Big Danger: Sweet And Speedy (Best Odds: $6.00) won that race at Sale after getting a cheap run on the speed and dashing clear in the straight. The form out of that race, in my opinion, looks very strong, and certainly good enough for this. Stable is having a good run with their youngsters at the moment and is bred to handle the rain if it comes.
Roughie: Not A Happy Camper (Best Odds: $11.00) comes out of the same, and he made up good ground as well behind the winner. Wasn’t wanted in betting, but there were encouraging signs there to suggest she has her fair share of ability. In a very tough race, It wouldn’t shock me to see her in the finish.
$400 She’s All That Free Bet
Race Two (13:00) : Sportingbet SA Fillies Classic 2500m Form Guide
Back Me: Putting Artistic Lass (Best Odds: $6.00) on top here. I thought her run in the Oaks behind May’s Dream was excellent considering she was last on the home turn yet hit the line better than anything else. 2500m is a big tick, should have scope for improvement, and perhaps she can sit a touch closer in the run. Looks very hard to beat.
Big Danger: Rezoned (Best Odds: $4.40) was desperately unlucky in the Oaks. There was a narrow gap and it was there for either her or May’s Dream, and the latter got it and won. Rezoned went to the line without really being extended, so she should have no troubles with the distance and should have some upside left in the tank.
Roughie: Every Faith (Best Odds: $4.40) was another eye catcher in the Oaks, like Artistic Lass, coming home from a long way back. Failed in the Oaks during the Spring, but appears now as if she’ll handle the trip, especially against this inferior lot. Bred to swim as well, so any rain won’t dint her winning claims.
$400 Artistic Lass Free Bet
Race Three (13:35) : SA Sprint Series Final 1100m Form Guide
Back Me: Waddle your finger and hope for the best. Excellent Point (Best Odds: $11.00) was very good at his South Australian debut last week, swooping from the back and looking the winner until the eventual winner kicked back on his inner. Generally improves with the run under the belt and the likelihood of a firmer track will assist.
Big Danger: King’s Pardon (Best Odds: $5.50) was backed as if unbeatable when resuming at Oakbank and he never gave his supporters a moment of worry, sitting off the speed and pouncing quickly in the straight for a dominant win. Drawn poorly now, but tumbles down to the minimum here, has won second up before and can handle all conditions.
Roughie: Mitford Girl (Best Odds: $26.00) was a strong first up winner at Murray Bridge before running third on a bottomless Gawler surface, then storming home late for second to King’s Pardon at Oakbank. Meets that horse so badly at the weights here, but she is racing very well at present and cannot be overlooked
$400 Excellent Point Free Bet
Race Four (14:14) : Mittys Port Adelaide Cup 2500m Form Guide
Back Me: Tricky race. Escado (Best Odds: $5.50) won the South Australian Derby in 2013 but hadn’t done anything great until last week when finding the line well late behind the flying Tooleybuc Kid at Caulfield. 2500m suits, drawn to get a gun run and Benny Melham gets back aboard. Hard to beat.
Big Danger: Le Roi was a dominant winner at the Valley two back, then stepped up to the elite company in the Queen Elizabeth and was simply outclassed behind It’s A Dundeel. Many, many lengths down in class here and should appreciate that, along with the rise to 2500m. Class horse and should prove to be a threat.
Roughie: Not sure what he has beaten recently, but the manner in which Terrific Flair (Best Odds: $35.00) has disposed of his rivals has earned him a crack at this level. He spanked them at Murray Bridge last start, and while it is a quantum leap in depth, he is in great form, as is the trainer and jockey.
$400 Escado Free Bet
Race Five (14:49) : Centaurea Stakes 2006m Form Guide
Back Me: Great bet here in the shape of Miss Outshine (Best Odds: $5.00) Ugh…do we have to revisit last Saturday? It was going to be a case of how far 200m out, but she got caught up behind horses and never got a crack at them when she appeared to be bolting. Also accepted for Flemington, but I think the carrot of blacktype will see her run here, and I think she’ll go very close.
Big Danger: Star Fashion (Best Odds: $2.50) went very close to winning at Group l level last start in the Oaks, but couldn’t withstand the finishing burst of May’s Dream. Has always promised to win a nice race, and while she narrowly missed out last time, she gets a great chance here I think and looms as the one to beat.
Roughie: Love For Ransom was well backed in that Caulfield race Miss Outshine was unlucky in when a narrow fourth. It has been a while since she has won, but continues to race quite well nonetheless. Up to the 2006m suits and has upside.
$400 Miss Outshine Free Bet
Race Six (15:24) : Tapestry Shiraz R A Lee Stakes 1600m Form Guide
Back Me: Rhythm To Spare (Best Odds: $4.00) ran a couple of howlers in Sydney during their carnival behind Messene and Weary respectively, then appreciated a drop in class with a dominant win at Flemington on Anzac Day. This isn’t the greatest Group lll field ever assembled and looks hard to beat, although he would prefer some fine weather.
Big Danger: Gig (Best Odds: $7.50) ran two solid seconds behind Red Fez and Sistine Demon before contesting the Robert Sangster, and like most, she just couldn’t get into the race behind the tearaway leader and eventual winner in Driefontein. Drop in class suits, as does the rise to 1600m. Gets her chance for some blacktype.
Roughie: Danish Spy (Best Odds: $21.00) closed off her race really well late in the Queen Of The South behind Tango’s Daughter after settling near last in the run. Stepping up against open company is a slight concern, but she is in very good form and strikes a winnable race.
$400 Rhythm To Spare Free Bet
Race Seven (16:00) : Tapestry Wines Goodwood 1200m Form Guide
Back Me: Can the fairytale of Miracles Of Life ‘Barbie’ (Best Odds: $9.00) have one final chapter? I think so based on how dominant she was last week against her own age, sitting outside a reasonable tempo before dashing clear in the straight and winning with plenty in reserve. There are horses in this race who have more ability than her, but I doubt there is one with as much heart. The wet track poses no worries, drawn beautifully to get the trail off Driefontein and is only half a kilo over the minimum.
Big Danger: A horse who hopes the rain does stay away is Unpretentious (Best Odds: $12.00), who was a narrow third in that thrilling finish of the William Reid. He has always shown the ability, and promise, to win a major injury and other factors have held him back. From all reports, he is ticking over very nicely for this and despite winning 101 majors, Olly is yet to win a Goodwood. Gets his chance here.
Roughie: Going to give a sneaky blowout chance to Ready To Rip (Best Odds: $34.00). Excellent first up run at Sportingbet Park when wide with no cover, then was well back at Caulfield in the Victoria Handicap, which was dominated by Jamie Kah and Sistine Demon. A fast run 1200m is his go, cherry ripe fitness wise, drawn to get a good trail, handles the wet and he won’t know himself with 54.5kg on his back.
$400 Miracles Of Life Free Bet
Race Eight (16:40) : Sportingbet Proud Miss Stakes 1200m Form Guide
Back Me: The likelihood of a hot tempo will play into the hands of Miss Steele (Best Odds: $4.40), who was outstanding in winning at the Valley last start, sitting back before poking her way through the field and unleashing a powerful finishing burst. Similar tactics will be used here, and will take a stack of beating if all the factors mentioned above eventuate.
Roughie: Girl Guide (Best Odds: $6.50) has had an outstanding first prep, with the only blemish being a second, beaten a nose, at the Valley to The Bounty Queen. Going through the grades nicely and now gets her chance to put some blacktype on the board. Drawn well, Dunn rides and hopefully she can take cover from the barrier, because against this lot, she’ll need to attack the line in order to win, not fall in.
Roughie: Vibrant Rouge couldn’t let down with the 58kg first up at Sportingbet Park behind Legcut in a handy mares race. Gets some weight relief and a senior rider on board, and is near unbeatable when produced second up, so don’t leave her out of the equation.
$400 Miss Steele Free Bet
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Best Bet: Race Five Number 10 Miss Outshine (Best Odds: $4.80)
Next Best: Race Seven Number 19 Miracles Of Life (Best Odds: $8.50)
Best Roughie: Race Three Number 2 Excellent Point (Best Odds: $10.00)
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 1, 6, 10, 16
Leg Two: 4, 6, 11, 12, 13
Leg Three: 5, 9, 10, 13, 19, 20
Leg Four: 2, 3, 8, 11, 16
$50 Investment = 8.33% of the dividend if successful.
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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