15/5/2021 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Rosehill, Inglis Guineas day

A bumper nine race card has been assembled for Rosehill this Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is soft (7) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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6 Don’tforgetmonica (Bet Now: $4.00) should love the rise in trip for Cameron Crockett. Was five weeks between runs when racing in the Highway at Hawkesbury. Got a fair way back and was held up, but once clear, she found the line with purpose and was quite good. Got upside, good upside, and is a leading chance.

3 Perfect Pitch (Bet Now: $9.00) is generally around the mark in these kind of Highways and I expect no less here. Has run in Federals at Canberra her past couple, the latest being over 1400m when a closing second to Onsettling Down in a good effort. Overall, this is a weak Highway, and she’s good enough to win.

2 Proven Class (Bet Now: $18.00) will want this to be a truly run 1500m given she comes back from 2000m at Kembla where she raced quite keen in the run and I think that took away something from her finale behind Dream Maiden. Proven performer in Highways and her best will see her around the mark.

4 Headliner (Bet Now: $4.80) is a talented filly for Chris Waller that resumes. Hasn’t raced since the Summer where she had a two run prep to start her career, the latest being a down the track effort behind Stay Inside, the subsequent Slipper winner. Trialled well to get ready and she did look a filly that would be better with a prep under the belt.

1 Ashema (Bet Now: $7.00) has been up a little while but has the runs on the board to give this a shake. Ran in the Dalrello at Eagle Farm two weeks back when wide throughout and fighting on quite bravely I thought when third to impressive winner Miss Hipstar. Back to her own age/sex, she’s hard to beat.

3 Xtremetime (Bet Now: $11.00) is a John Thompson trained filly that looks to have her share of ability. Good ticker from her I thought to fend them off and win fresh at Canterbury, leading throughout. She was there to be run down but found when required in a very close photo finish. Has to be respected I’d suggest.

3 Lackeen (Bet Now: $4.80) is flying I think and can confirm that with a win here. Been given a mini freshen up since racing at Canterbury where he had little to no luck at all behind Mr Dependable. Tick over trial was a lovely piece of work and he is racing as if the rise to 2000m should suit him. Hard to beat.

12 Our Bambino (Bet Now: $11.00) is in a real purple patch at the moment for the Price camp. Toughed it out best to win two back over 2100m at Hawkesbury before going to 2400m on the Kenso track where he was hailed as the winner throughout in the straight but was nabbed on the peg by Alakahan. Just has to hold his form to be around the mark.

I think a sneaky first four threat is 4 Mongolian Wolf (Bet Now: $51.00). Kris Lees trained stayer that ran at Hawkesbury a fortnight ago. He was never a winning threat behind Luncies, but didn’t think he was too bad in defeat for a horse that wants further, which he gets here. Doubt he wins, but one for multiples.

3 Miss Canada (Bet Now: $35.00) is worth a throw at the stumps at big odds. That Doomben track she raced on last time was dynamite fence in run, so for her to make ground out wide, I thought the effort was very good. Has she got the class to beat some of these? I’d say no, but at decent odds, she’s worth a speck each way.

I think the track conditions will be crucial to the chances of 7 Newsreader (Bet Now: $4.60). If this track is genuinely wet, then she’s a risk, but if the track does miss a chunk of the rain, I think she’s right in this. Has trialled up like a bomb leading in, continuing on from a stellar end to her last prep. Hard to beat on a dry-ish deck.

I’ve always had time for 9 Chianti (Bet Now: $20.00) so keen to see how she goes here for Kris Lees. Freshened up since a plain effort fresh at Warwick Farm behind impressive winner Salina Dreaming. Showed really good promise in the Spring and as a two year old, and the tick over trial was a nice piece of work.

It just looks a perfect race for 1 Prime Star (Bet Now: $2.10). At set weights, with the form around him, he only just has to be somewhere near the mark fitness wise and he’ll be too good. Ran really well during the Autumn Carnival without winning in races far stronger than this. Trial was good, he has the runs on the board and 1400m is fine.

2 Exoboom (Bet Now: $3.30) is progressive, heading in the right direction, and I think he can win again. Beaten as an odds on pop fresh at Hawkesbury but he made amends in the Hawkesbury Guineas with a sharp win from off the pace. Was only second up there so you’d like to think there is room for improvement.

Giving enormous respect to 7 Supremo (Bet Now: $18.00) for John Thompson. Returned as a gelding over 1300m at Warwick Farm and the end result was a spank job of his rivals, albeit the field he beat was not much chop. But he looks a good prospect and will be out of trouble near the front of the pack.

When I first heard Everest talk about 7 Lost And Running (Bet Now: $1.40) after his win at Randwick, I thought “Steady On”. But given how arrogant he was, and the time he ran, after leading, it was a win of a horse that could well get to Group l level. If he is indeed heading down that path, would want to be winning a race like this.

This is probably D-Day for 1 Eleven Eleven (Bet Now: $5.50) to determine if he’s a contender or pretender when it comes to a Stradbroke berth. He was fabulous fresh in the TJ Smith. Then went to the Hall Mark and yes, was wide no cover, but expected more from him and I thought he was plain late. His best is certainly capable of beating the hot pot.

Most fascinating runner in the race is clearly 9 Thorin (Bet Now: $31.00), a former German galloper that makes his Australian debut for David Payne. Form around him from that part of the world is pretty solid form, albeit over slightly further. Thought his recent trial was encouraging as well so watch the market.

I’m with 5 Embracer (Bet Now: $2.90), who is second up here for the WaterBott camp. Resumed as a gelding in the Gold Rush at Hawkesbury when heavily backed and they knew what they were doing. He was dominant in winning and won with something in hand. If he improves off that, which you assume he does, he’s the one to beat.

13 Fituese (Bet Now: $2.70) is a quality mare for John Thompson that resumes. Hasn’t raced since the Spring when pulling up injured post her down the track effort behind Fiesta on Derby Day at Flemington. Been given a good break, has trialled well leading in, unbeaten fresh…market will tell you if she’s ready.

16 Wayupinthesky (Bet Now: $10.00) does look better suited at 1100m and from gate one should get every chance. That was the case in the Gold Rush and she ran quite well I thought behind Embracer. Whether she can turn the tables on that horse, not sure, but is a must for multiples I’d suggest.

6 Belluci Babe (Bet Now: $7.50) should prove hard to beat for Bjorn Baker. Few weeks between runs since wining impressively over the 1100m at Hawkesbury, running sharp time in the process. Her best efforts have come over the short course so the Rosehill 1100m looks a good set up.

4 Salina Dreaming (Bet Now: $6.00) deserves another chance. Angela Davies trained mare that was a very sharp first up winner at Warwick Farm. That ensured she was hard in the market to beat Lost And Running three weeks ago at Randwick, but that horse was just different gravy and spanked them, breaking her heart. Back to this level, she appeals.

5 Hulk (Bet Now: $5.50) is a handy horse for Chris Waller that resumes. They tried to stretch him out early on in his career but as he has got older and more experience, it’s clear that he is more effective as a short course horse. Good fresh record and his two trials suggest he’s going to continue that fresh trend

16 Count De Rupee (Bet Now: $1.90) in the get out. Team Price trained three year old that resumed on the Kenso on Anzac Day and chased strongly from off the speed when second to Marway, who franked the form big time via winning the Wagga Town Plate. That form has to read well for a race like this.

6 Lucicello (Bet Now: $14.00) is sneaky flying for Chris Waller I think. Has bumped into Lost And Running her past two, the latest coming three weeks ago at Randwick when far from disgraced in a high rating race. No horse of that quality here and fourth up from a break, she should be just about at peak fitness.

22 Oscar Zulu (Bet Now: $9.00) is a talented three year for Chris Waller that resumes. Hasn’t raced since Feb 17 on the Kenso track when a solid second to the then in form Marsanay, who went on and was outclassed in better 3YO races, but the form is solid and he is 2/2 fresh, so watch the market.

BEST BET: Race Six Number 7 Lost And Running

NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 1 Prime Star

LONG SHOT: Race Four Number 3 Miss Canada

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 7

Leg Two: 5, 13

Leg Three: 4, 5, 6, 8

Leg Four: 6, 15, 16, 22

$50 Investment = 125% of the dividend if successful

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