16/5/2020 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Rosehill, Inglis Guineas day

Nine races will be run and won at Rosehill this Saturday, where it’s the second day of the Scone Carnival, and it’s a ripping program with a stack of blacktype races. The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.

Inglis Guineas 🏆: View the Field for the Inglis Guineas

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I think you have to trust what you see with 10 Leg Work (Bet Now: $3.90 TOP ODDS). Looks a really progressive three year old for Danny Williams that could well be one to watch for the Country Championships next year if he keeps progressing like he does. Big win two back to break the maiden tag at Wagga before racing there on Cup Day and while he won by around 3.5L, it may as well have been ten lengths he had that much on them. Two winners have already come out of that race and up to 1500m looks perfect.

3 Perfect Pitch (Bet Now: $9.50 TOP ODDS) is a Keith Dryden trained mare that is racing well without much luck. Ran in the Highway two weeks back on the Kenso where not much went her way in the straight and I think you can make a case that she should have fought the finish out when fifth to Laughing Of Crying, beaten two lengths. While between wins, but she’s racing well.

17 Lord Desanimaux (Bet Now: $26.00 TOP ODDS) comes through the Highway from two weeks ago and I thought his run was a beauty from the back. Just not sure this is his race, but definitely including in exotics because his finale behind Laughing Or Crying was very good. Likely gets back to last from the wide gate and will be hoping for them to go quick in front.

2 Fanciful Toff (Bet Now: $4.40 TOP ODDS) looks really well placed here by the Maher/Eustace camp. He comes back to 78 grade after contesting the Terang Cup last start where he had his chance but was still very good when second to Too Close The Sun, who of course came out to win the Warrnambool Cup next start, so the form reads super and keep in mind this time last year that Fanciful Toff did win a 2400m race at Randwick.

1 Costello (Bet Now: $5.00 TOP ODDS) is an honest stayer for David Payne who doesn’t win out of turn but his day in the spotlight finally came last time out on the Kenso track where it was a battle between the non winners. He and Welsh Legend had the race to themselves from a fair way out and it was Costello that got the win. Back at home, confidence up, back up in trip, he can run well again.

9 Terwilliker (Bet Now: $14.00 TOP ODDS) is a son of Pierro for Anthony Cummings that is working up to a win. Ran over 2400m at Warwick Farm at the midweeks back on April 29 and finished off strongly from off the pace to run a narrow third to Sciconic. If you look at all four runs this prep, they have each been good. Think he can close here.

8 Newsreader (Bet Now: $5.00 TOP ODDS) is a definite winning chance here. John O’Shea trains this filly, who had just one soft trial leading into her debut two weeks ago on the Kenso track and loved the way she found the line late when a close up third to Macroura. You’d think she’ll take good improvement off that…does she want 1200m though?

1 Macroura (Bet Now: $3.40 TOP ODDS) is a Maher/Eustace trained filly that was a sharp debut winner at Kembla prior to racing two weeks ago on the Kenso track when heavily backed and under a lovely ride from Rachel King, the filly was too good for them and produced an impressive finale. Think she’s hard to beat against this lot and can make it 3/3.

Giving respect to 9 Superbellaa (Bet Now: $17.00 TOP ODDS) for the Lee Curtis team. This filly hasn’t raced since debuting with an all the way win at Canberra over 1000m, showing good sustained speed for the five furlongs. Been given a good break and gee she looked outstanding in her trial last week here, leading throughout, running fast time, and doing it under a hold. Think she only runs well.

Think 5 Rocha Clock (Bet Now: $3.70 TOP ODDS) is worth another look at blacktype level. Ridden far too warm first up in the James Carr before going to benchmark company on the Kenso track and under a lovely steer from Bowman, the filly bounced back to her best. She’s looked blacktype quality since day one and keen to see how she measures up.

1 Dawn Passage (Bet Now: $1.90 TOP ODDS) looks the one to beat on exposed form having given them a spanking three weeks ago here in the Hawkesbury Guineas. Was wide most of the way but the big key for him was getting onto firmer footing and he was far too classy for his rivals. Interesting to see what Hippo does in the small field, but clearly the one to beat on form.

2 True Detective… (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS) what does he have to do to win? J Mac could not have ridden the three year old any better three weeks ago at Rosehill over 1300m. Lobbed into the perfect spot, peeled out, looked all over a winner. He just doesn’t have that killer instinct to put them away, getting bloused late by Oakfield Missile. He can win because punting hat aside, he’s racing well. Just couldn’t back to win with confidence.

Going the way of 9 Adelong (Bet Now: $2.10) for Brad Widdup. This mare had one soft trial at Hawkesbury prior to resuming at Canterbury over 1100m where she wasn’t that flash to begin and couldn’t lead on the fence, instead Lesage got that spot and in the end, she was able to win. This mare loves to dominate from the front and if that can eventuate here, she’ll take a power of beating.

3 Lashes (Bet Now: $3.00) does seem a mare who thrives on racing fresh so giving her respect. Matty Smith trains this girl, who did some nice things in the early part of the prep during the Summer before being tested at Stakes level in the Triscay when down the track behind Sweet Deal. Been given a break and has looked very well in her trials.

5 Broken Arrows (Bet Now: $9.00) is a son of Smart Missile for David Pfieffer that resumes. This bloke is a talented sprinter at this level when right and I think he’s in for a good prep if his two trials are any guide. Has looked to have more to offer in each hitout and while he does need things to fall into place for him, if they do, clearly can take this out.

1 Graff (Bet Now: $3.10) is on his last chance. He’s got the talent to blow these away, but just hasn’t produced that for a while. Resumed in the Gold Rush over 1100m here and was held up for a couple of strides but for the most part did have his chance when a close up fourth to Tactical Advantage. He did parade big in condition, so he’ll take improvement off that. Hoping his class can carry him over the line first.

3 Ranier (Bet Now: $5.50) is a James Cummings trained four year old that is just four weeks between runs since resuming over 1400m at Randwick when given a 12/10 by Bowman, slicing his way through the field and driving hard to nail stablemate Phaistos on the peg. Both second and third from that race have run well since so that form has to be respected here in an open contest.

2 Brave Song (Bet Now: $13.00) is worth a look here at odds. On face value, he hasn’t done much in two runs back from a break, but keep in mind first up he was bogged down on a bottomless surface, and then in the Hall Mark behind Greyworm, he was no hope given the way the race was run. Trialled well at Randwick last week and up to 1300m is a big tick.

5 Fituese (Bet Now: $2.00) looks one of the hardest to beat. John Thompson trains this filly, who was confidently backed when resuming on the Kenso track two weeks ago where she chased what looked a good speed but she picked them up quickly and was strong to the line in spanking her rivals and running fast time. She looks blacktype quality. Think she can confirm that here.

1 Wayupinthesky (Bet Now: $5.00) is a Team Snowden trained filly that has been freshened up since contesting the P J Bell during the Championships at Randwick when a good second to the in form filly of Australian racing, Rubisaki. To me, she’s a short course horse, so like her back to 1100m and was tuned up for it with a nice soft trial at Randwick.

18 L’Cosmo (Bet Now: $23.00) is a daughter of Lonhro for Team Snowden that ran second to Fituese two weeks back on the Kenso track. Thought when McEvoy presented her clear air, it was race over, but not only didn’t she make ground on the Thompson filly, she actually drew clear late, so hard to see L’Cosmo turning the tables, but she’s honest and should be around the mark.

She’s hard to catch 11 Sure Knee (Bet Now: $17.00) but if you’re going off her trials, she’s absolutely flying. Two trials to prepare for her return, the latest coming here last Friday when trucking near the back of the field and poked her way through to run fifth under an absolute hold and was full of running. Should be good speed in front and she’ll get her chance to launch late.

4 Sweet Scandal (Bet Now: $6.50) is a ripping mare for Chris Waller that was plagued with no luck during the Autumn Carnival, but got a well deserved win in the Hawkesbury Crown, largely helped by a lovely steer from Bossy, who found three wide cover with her and she launched late to grab In Her Time near the peg. 1400m is no issue for her and clearly hard to beat.

7 Delectation Girl (Bet Now: $6.50) is the other horse I want to back here. Hasn’t been sighted since contesting the Coolmore Legacy where she was one of the runs of the race I thought in very testing conditions when fourth to Con Te Partiro. Her trial behind Miss Fabulass at Gosford was excellent and good lead that Bowman rides her.

The last 10-15 minutes of betting will tell you if 8 Noble Boy (Bet Now: $8.50) is ready. Likely has bigger targets in mind, but I’ve loved the way he has looked in a couple of trials under new trainer Clare Cunningham. Only time he has been beaten fresh came in the Kosciuszko where he didn’t get the clearest of paths in the straight. He’s an exciting customer on the up and think he can measure up to these.

4 God Of Thunder (Bet Now: $8.50) is a Team Hawkes trained gelding that had a little freshen up prior to racing in the Gold Rush where I thought Avdulla gave him a peach of a steer just off the speed and loomed large to win. Just couldn’t quite finish it off when a close up third. He’ll improve off that and rates highly against these.

2 Soothing (Bet Now: $12.00) is worth another look. Ridden a touch too warm in the Gold Rush I thought, sitting near a fast speed and couldn’t quite finish it off but was far from disgraced in defeat behind Tactical Advantage. Run prior in the Sapphire behind White Moss was a beauty, and I think the key to her is riding her cold and saving her for a late ambush.

BEST BET: Race Six Number 1 Graff

NEXT BEST: Race Nine Number 8 Noble Boy

LONG SHOT: Race Eight Number 11 Sure Knee

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1

Leg Two: 1, 5, 12, 18

Leg Three: 4, 7, 11, 14, 16

Leg Four: 1, 2, 4, 8

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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