18/9/2021 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Caulfield, Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes day

A bumper nine race meeting has been set down for Caulfield this Saturday, highlighted by the Group l Sir Rupert Clarke (1400m). The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.

Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes

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I’m with 3 Faretti (Bet Now: $6.50 TOP ODDS). WaterBott trained gelding that was met with strong market support when resuming over 1200m at Geelong. I loved the fight he showed. He was there to be beaten but found under Williams and kicked strongly to win. Should lead these for fun and take beating again.

2 The Gauch (Bet Now: $3.90 TOP ODDS) is unbeaten second up and commands respect. Resumed here three weeks ago when near the speed throughout and was there to win, but first up, his condition just gave way late behind He’s A Balter. 2/2 second up, gets in well after the claim, he appeals.

11 Pride Of Jenni (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS) is a big watch here. Symon Wilde trained mare that resumes, having not raced since April 24 over the mile here when doing work on speed and tiring late behind talented mare Brookspire. Can’t find a jumpout for her, so watch the market and see what it does with her.

4 Pandemic (Bet Now: $4.40 TOP ODDS) is a quality sprinter for James Cummings that resumes. Was touted as a potential Goodwood horse hence running in the McKay at Morphettville, but could only manage second to the eventual Goodwood winner, Savatoxl. Then went to Flemington and pulled up with EIPH in a total forgive. Trialled well leading in and has a big win at this track from the Summer next to his name.

2 Athiri (Bet Now: $4.20 TOP ODDS) has class on her side and that will carry her a fair way. She resumes for James Cummings after an inglorious Autumn prep where for the most part, I thought she was quite disappointing. Trial leading was sharp and Olly rides this mare and not Pandemic, whether that is a lead or not.

3 William Thomas (Bet Now: $7.00 TOP ODDS) should be suited here for John Price. I reckon his days as a proper Stakes class horse are over, so back to an open sprint, I think that is his level. Just found the class too much last time in the Bletchingly. He is much better suited here and can bounce back for sure.

6 Xtra Gear (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS) looks to have her share of talent. Richard Laming trained filly that was a strong second on debut at Sale before going to Geelong where she was smashed late in betting and under a confident steer from McNeil, she was miles too good. Harder here, but looks a likely type and a good racing pattern.

1 Heresy (Bet Now: $2.80 TOP ODDS) is three weeks between runs for James Cummings since contesting the McNeil here. She was given a sweet steer by Olly and for a brief moment looked the winner, but had to settle for a narrow second to Bruckner. The 1400m should be fine and perhaps getting to the outside of horses with proper clear air will suit her better.

This run will be a good guide as to what they do with 2 Scorched Earth (Bet Now: $8.50 TOP ODDS), whether they press on towards the Thousand Guineas, or freshen up for sprint races. She was on speed in the Atlantic Jewel last time out and tried hard, but felt the pinch late. If she gets a cheap run on speed, 1400m should be okay and is a key threat.

Whether this is too big of a step up for 8 Timson (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS), I’m not sure, but I’d rather be with him than without and he storms over the top. His debut win at Casterton, you just don’t see what he produced. It was an electric finale. Thrown straight in the deep end, but overall, this is a pretty thin race I feel.

6 Military Expert (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS) looks to have the right form. Three weeks between runs since contesting the Ming Dynasty at Kembla when on speed and though held late by Coastwatch, he stuck on gamely to run second. The run had merit and that form does look strong for this.

4 Athelric (Bet Now: $8.00 TOP ODDS) is racing well this prep without winning. He ran a two weeks back at the Valley when sitting off the speed before peeling wider and looming to beat Mynumeruno, but had to settle for second. Not sure he wins given the trip is a query, but is a first four contender.

5 Forbes (Bet Now: $7.00) really needs to sort out his barrier manners, but being tardy away and sitting back might be a blessing here given the amount of early speed engaged. He has shown good talent, notably on debut in the Merson when pipped late by Anamoe. Any hint of that produced here and he wins.

1 General Beau (Bet Now: $3.30) isn’t a top class three year old. This looks more his level and he can bounce back on a track he likes. Ran in the McNeil and seemed to have every chance on speed but couldn’t finish it off behind Bruckner. Better suited at 1000m and he can win for sure.

6 Island Edition (Bet Now: $9.00) is a fascinating runner. Phillip Stokes trained three year old that debuted a few weeks ago at Ballarat on the Synthetic where he was backed with confidence late and was much too good for them in an impressive display. Harder here, but maps well should be strong late.

3 Annavisto (Bet Now: $2.25) is a Price/Kent trained mare that is three weeks between runs since resuming at this track/distance where she chased strongly from off the speed, just missing out on the win when second to the very much in form Turaath. That form has been ticked off and this girl has good upside to come. Hard to beat.

4 Lunakorn (Bet Now: $23.00) deserves another chance. On face value, I was disappointed with her resumption behind Turaath here three weeks ago, but considering how hard they went in front and what that mare did last Saturday, the form just reads A1 and Lunakorn was first up, so you’d like to think there is improvement to come.

13 Galgani (Bet Now: $9.50) has been up a little while for Nikki Burke but is racing in pretty solid form. She sat on that strong speed Turaath set here three weeks back and tried hard, but just felt the pinch late when fourth, but a sound effort all the same. If the track is playing on speed, she commands respect.

4 Delphi (Bet Now: $8.00) looks to have returned in good order. Not sure what he would do after an inglorious Aussie debut during the Brisbane Winter, but I thought his run in defeat in the Heatherlie was full of merit in a race shape that didn’t suit him. Much better suited here and his best is clearly good enough.

11 Nonconformist (Bet Now: $4.20) should appreciate the rise to 2000m for Grahame Begg. Ran two weeks ago in the Feehan and was good late from off the speed behind Superstorm, though I will say the race didn’t rate through the roof, which is the concern, but he’s got upside and proven here.

5 Knights Order (Bet Now: $31.00) kicks off his Melbourne Cup prep and it wouldn’t shock me if he can kick it off with a win. Ended last prep on a big note when bolting up in the Brisbane Cup, albeit he beat nothing really. His three trials to get ready have been solid and he’s got the right an ideal racing pattern. Hard to beat.

2 Probabeel (Bet Now: $4.50) has class and that will carry her a long way. Backed as if unbeatable when resuming in the Cockram three weeks ago and despite carrying 60kg, she was the class runner by some distance in the race and that was the difference. Has a decent weight again, but again, has class. And up to 1400m, fitter, she has to be respected.

13 Amish Boy (Bet Now: $15.00) looks to have returned in really good order. Resumed three weeks ago over 1100m here and looked home when the split came. As soon as you had that though, down the outside swooped Masked Crusader. He’ll get three wide cover and launch at these late.

I’ll need a new TV if 9 Aysar (Bet Now: $35.00) was to win, but I do think he’s going well. The mounting yard experts keep saying he is glowing in the coat and has improved big time from last season. Jury was out first up, but he ran a solid race at the Valley two weeks ago. Gets to what I think is his A1 trip and third up, he should be hard fit.

13 Enchantingly (Bet Now: $10.00) is a remarkable story for Scott Westover. It’s very you see a horse leave Chris Waller and improve. This mare hasn’t just improved. She’s just a different horse and here she is as one of the hardest to beat in a Stakes race. She has been brilliant at her last two starts/wins back home in SA, she’s hard fit, in form, puts herself on speed…I think she’ll only run well.

Fascinating runner is 2 Kahma Lass (Bet Now: $20.00), a Jamie Richards trained mare that resumes. Kiwi mare that created a decent impression at home before coming to the Sydney in the Autumn, where she failed to fire in the Light Fingers and was spelled soon after. She’s loaded with talent and looks to have trialled up well in readiness.

6 Chassis (Bet Now: $13.00) is a knockout chance. Not much was expected of her when she resumed in the Cockram but she ran out of her skin, pushing Probabeel throughout in the straight when a narrow second to the star mare. Just has to be holding that form here to go close to winning.

BEST BET: Race Six Number 3 Annavisto

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 3 Faretti

LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 13 Enchantingly

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 3

Leg Two: 4, 5, 6, 11, 12

Leg Three: 2, 9, 13, 17

Leg Four: 2, 3, 6, 13

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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