19/3/2022 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Rosehill, Golden Slipper day

One of the great days on the Australian calendar is Golden Slipper Day at Rosehill and the 2022 edition rolls around this Saturday. The weather forecast is for showers, the track is heavy (8) and the rail is out two metres for the entire circuit.

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8 Icecrusher (Bet Now: $7.00 TOP ODDS) should appreciate firmer footing and coming back to 1500m. Just got a bit too far out of her ground a fortnight back here but thought her finale was more than sound behind Cap Estel. I think firmer footing is right up her alley and she should be at peak fitness now.

4 Always Sure (Bet Now: $16.00 TOP ODDS) is knocking on the door to win and I think he gets his chance here. Both runs this time in have come in Midways. Needed the run fresh behind More Sundays but liked his finale a few weeks ago when back and closing off nicely behind Military Expert. Third up from a break, hard fit now and has upside.

15 The Fossil (Bet Now: $34.00 TOP ODDS) would love this track to dry right out. I think Sam Kavanagh has him racing well, but he’s a horse who just hates getting his feet too wet. That was the case behind Cap Estel but he stuck on okay. Definite knockout chance if he can get conditions to suit.

4 Mazu (Bet Now: $1.75 TOP ODDS) has been a revelation since being gelded. I had him pegged as just a dry tracker but he’s put that to bed this time in with a couple of electric wins with juice in the track, and carried big weights. He’s becoming a proper gun three year old and should take beating once again.

14 Smirnova (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS)…dear oh dear. If you were on her back first up (Yep, I was), then it was just ugly, ugly viewing. No fault of Jye McNeil, but the filly just couldn’t get clear air at any stage over the 955m at The Valley. Should have bolted up, but it was essentially a barrier trial. She can measure up here for sure.

I thought it was a very encouraging return from 8 Chartres (Bet Now: $15.00 TOP ODDS) in the Zeditave. Blessed with the track pattern, but even allowing for that, he was a little unlucky not to finish closer behind Finance Tycoon. Far from disgraced in the Sandown Guineas in the Spring so he does have a touch of class and he’s got good upside to come.

13 Surefire… (Bet Now: $3.80 TOP ODDS) how good is he? Australian debut came three weeks ago at Randwick and he produced the win of the day I thought given the lack of luck he had early on in the straight. Fitter, up to 2400m, he can stamp himself as #1 seed for the Sydney Cup with a win here.

10 No Compromise… (Bet Now: $6.00 TOP ODDS) surely he will get the rub of the green soon. He’s been given none via the hoop his past two. Fights the finish out IMO two back behind Mightybeel, then went to Randwick where he followed camels and just couldn’t get out in time to build momentum. He’s flying, deserves a change of luck…hopefully can get that here.

15 Chalk Stream (Bet Now: $21.00 TOP ODDS) is an interesting runner. Made his Australian debut in the Surefire race mentioned above when wide no cover for the trip and despite not being in the finish, he stuck on and was okay in defeat. Not sure it’s this prep for him, but I think he’ll be winning races.

6 Galaxy Belle (Bet Now: $4.00 TOP ODDS) is bursting to win a race for Kris Lees. Good from the back on the Kenso two back before racing at Randwick where she was well specked at a price. Unfortunately things didn’t go her way and she was unlucky when a narrow second to Surefire. I think that form has to read well for this.

1 Le Lude (Bet Now: $3.40 TOP ODDS) is a John Thompson trained mare that is flying this time in. Got the lead with ease two weeks ago in the Aspiration and really, the race was over after she found the front. She gapped them and was impressive. Proven at 2000m, so 1900m here will be fine and is hard to beat.

Fitter and up to 1900m are two big ticks for the Maher/Eustace mare 13 Feel The Rush (Bet Now: $51.00 TOP ODDS). She resumed at the midweeks at Sandown over the 1800m when near the speed throughout and tried hard. Just lacked the change up speed to go with them late. Better set up here and does have quality when right.

5 Verry Elleegant (Bet Now: $1.26) is a champion, an all time great, and we know as she gets older, the deeper she gets into a prep, the better she gets. Champion qualities were there to see in the Chipping Norton and that form has been well and truly ticked off. She should be winning here.

6 Montefilia (Bet Now: $7.00) should love the rise to 2000m. Paraded like she would need the run fresh in the Chipping Norton and that is how it panned out, but the run was still a pass mark I thought for a mare who wants 2400m+. Might want one more, but she has class and that will carry her a long way.

1 Angel Of Truth (Bet Now: $11.00) looks to have returned in pretty good order. Attempted to lead throughout in the Chipping Norton and he showed good fight in the straight, just getting run down late by the champion that is Verry Elleegant. Lands on speed again and fitter, up in trip, he’ll run well again.

I think the track rating is the key for 1 Anamoe (Bet Now: $1.65). IMO, I feel he is best suited on a dry track and the last couple of runs have seen him on wet tracks where he hasn’t been as brilliant as we know he has been, the latest run a second in the Randwick Guineas. Also noteworthy he has been a real colt in the yard. Has he got his mind on other things? If it’s a tick from the yard, I’d say bet up with confidence.

3 Profondo (Bet Now: $7.00) is too good of a horse to sack off one run. It was such an awful set up for him fresh in the Australian Guineas. Four days after a trial, travelling, wide gate, wide no cover chasing a strong speed…just a total pen job. If you can forgive him for that, which you should, he’s right in this.

4 Forgot You (Bet Now: $11.00) will love the rise to 2000m. He comes through the Australian Guineas where he was chasing the speed throughout and was never really going to win but liked the way he stuck to the task when fourth. He’ll eat up 2000m here and should be strong at the end.

3 Private Eye (Bet Now: $7.50) is ticking along beautifully towards the Doncaster. Resumed in the Canterbury Stakes and I thought he was fabulous against the race shape when a closing third to Forbidden Love. Lighthouse franked the form in the Coolmore Classic and fitter, up to 1500m, he’s clearly likeable.

9 Forbidden Love (Bet Now: $2.45) has to be a query at a strong 1500m, but she’s a mare that is in form and swims, so she gets conditions to suit. The Canterbury Stakes win was pretty much a barrier trial, but she was dominant and again maps to get the sweet run in transit, proving hard to beat.

1 Kolding (Bet Now: $23.00) is in with a shout here if the track can dry out. He was a definite pass mark in the Canterbury Stakes given he hates getting his feet wet but he stuck on really well to run fourth. Gets to a suitable trip, fitter and if he can find firmer footing here, I am expecting a positive run.

The track rating and how wet it is determines the result of this race. If it dries right out this track, then 8 Coolangatta (Bet Now: $4.20) just wins. Overall, they do look an ordinary bunch of juveniles, but she has been a clear standout. Hasn’t raced since taking out the Magic Millions at the Gold Coast and while traditionally, hard racing/fitness is ideal for these wet tracks in Sydney, but in recent times, it is horses with fresh legs that can run well. Looked to move well in a Newcastle jumpout win and she’s in the right camp to defy history.

5 Jacquinot (Bet Now: $12.00) is the only one from the Blue Diamond that interests me. He was enormous in defeat given the wide run he had. 200m out he looked the winner when presented, but the hard run just told late, finishing a close up third. If he gets the soft run in transit here, I think he’ll be quite strong late.

3 Best Of Bordeaux (Bet Now: $12.00) is a beauty for Kacy Fogden. I thought he was outstanding in the Silver Slipper, with sustained speed from the front coming to the fore in an awesome display. I think 1200m will be no issue for him and his recent trial was a lovely tick over piece of work to tune up for this.

8 Isotope (Bet Now: $5.00) has been set for this race for a while and she is proven at the track, plus the stable rarely get it wrong when they travel. This girl resumed on Magic Millions Day and was a sparkling winner, landing big bets in the process. She’s here to rock and roll I’d suggest and the market will hopefully agree.

3 Bella Nipotina (Bet Now: $27.00) looks the map horse. Resumed in the Oakleigh Plate where that set up from the tricky gate just wasn’t to her liking, so want to be forgiving of that effort behind Marabi. She has that run under the belt now and should get a lovely run from the draw. She’s hard to beat here I’d suggest.

15 Shelby Sixtysix… (Bet Now: $5.00) it is one of the remarkable rises in the ranks I’ve ever come across. I remember being chips in with him back in November at Albury when beaten in a Class 2. Fast forward to now, and he’s a live chance in a Group l. Another stride and he beats Eduardo two weeks back, then he bolted up in the Maurice McCarten last Saturday. The way he is going, wouldn’t shock me at all if he won.

Leaning towards 9 Mallory (Bet Now: $3.60) in the get out. Forgive run fresh in a hot Kevin Hayes. She then went to the Fireball at Randwick and chased strongly nearer the inside when second to Mazu. Third up from a break so should be at peak fitness, has home track advantage and gets W Pike.

7 Emanate (Bet Now: $6.00) is several weeks between runs for James Cummings since racing over 1100m here where she didn’t stop chasing and was good in defeat behind a pretty sharp horse in Rule Of Law. Regally bred, so some blacktype here will be ideal for her CV, so I think this is good placement.

4 Seasons (Bet Now: $46.00) is one I could entertain for wider multiples. She was a strong winner of this race last year when with Les Bridge. She is now with Kylie Gavenlock. Resumed in the Wenona Girl where she wasn’t suited by the race shape. Better suited here so an improved showing is on the cards.

BEST BET: Race Two Number 4 Mazu

NEXT BEST: Race Eight Number 8 Coolangatta

LONG SHOT: Race One Number 8 Icecrusher

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 1, 3, 8, 9, 10

Leg Two: 8

Leg Three: 3, 6, 8, 15

Leg Four: 4, 6, 7, 9

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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