21/9/2019 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Randwick, George Main Stakes day

Group l racing continues at Randwick this Saturday with the Colgate Optic White Stakes (1600m) the feature on the brilliant nine race card. The weather is fine, the track is soft (7) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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Going with 14 Marokawa (Bet Now: $6.50 TOP ODDS). Rod Northam trains this gelding, who comes through a Highway over 1200m here two weeks ago where he had no luck at all in the straight and should have finished much closer behind Lady Demi in a bunched finish. The two wet track runs for Northam have come at Scone, winning one and running a close up fifth during the Scone Carnival in a race which has produced seven winners. Keen on him running well.

8 Caccini (Bet Now: $6.00 TOP ODDS) is a proven Highway performer, and is proven at this level at this track when wet, so she ticks plenty of boxes. Comes through a Benchmark 70 Federal at Canberra where she was held bu far from disgraced behind a promising one in I Am Kalani. Gets conditions to suit, down in the weights from a soft draw…can only see her running well.

9 Fair Dinkum (Bet Now: $11.00 TOP ODDS) is a Ross Stitt trained gelding that had trialled up well prior to resuming at Kempsey where he was a bit of a drifter late in betting but thanks to a lovely ride from Weir, the gelding was able to get the job done, just. Stable doesn’t send them to town for a holiday and Andrew Adkins does ride these country gallopers well, so a knockout chance for sure.

6 Lisdoonvarna (Bet Now: $8.00 TOP ODDS) on top for me in a decent enough race. The Turner/Poletti stable trains this mare, who resumed on her home track at Warwick Farm over 1200m a couple of Wednesdays back and I thought she was very good late when clear behind Dance Hall Girl. The key to her is finding wet ground, which is what she’ll likely get here, and with upside, she’ll take some beating.

13 Eugene’s Pick (Bet Now: $6.50 TOP ODDS) is a smokey here. The Price stable are flying at the moment and this mare looks set for a good prep if her resumption is any guide. Ran fifth to Baller over 1200m here two weeks ago but you could easily make a case that she should have finished closer. Just had no luck in the straight when building the revs. Up to 1400m, fitter…perhaps second up syndrome, but the resumption was too good to ignore.

11 Rock Dove (Bet Now: $18.00 TOP ODDS) is a James Cummings trained mare that resumes. This girl had a very busy 3YO season, especially in the Autumn, which ended with a fifth in the SA Fillies Classic, a race which hasn’t exactly been great form wise. Better suited over a bit further, but didn’t mind the way she trialled and she’s another who won’t mind a track with give in it.

Horrendous, ugly, putrid…you could think of other words when it comes to the replay of 11 Junipal (Bet Now: $3.70 TOP ODDS) at the Valley from a fortnight back. Should have won, simple as that. Can you blame Teo? If there was one move he could have made, it would have been to peel wider instead of staying inside, but nothing panned out for him and it was just an awful watch. Better luck here and he’ll go really close.

Up in trip and on a track with give, 9 Aliferous (Bet Now: $18.00 TOP ODDS) is a definite improver here. She was unwanted in betting when resuming in the Mona Lisa at Wyong where she got back near last in the run and didn’t really come on at all behind Foxy Housewife. Better suited over a longer trip, which is what she gets here, and gets a track with give in it, which was a key to her and her form in the Autumn.

I think the step up to the mile will suit four year old mare 14 Re Edit (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS). Just got a bit flat footed when the sprint went on two weeks ago over 1500m here where she was first up but was good late when sixth to Articus. Think 2000m+ is when she’ll come into her own, but she showed during the Brisbane Winter that she has a touch of class/quality about her.

She’s on top 1 Libertini (Bet Now: $1.75 TOP ODDS) but I wouldn’t say she’s a good thing. She was stunning first up in the Silver Shadow before going to the Furious where she had to overcome the track pattern and visually, she wasn’t as dynamic, but she was still excellent in getting the job done. I think this run will give us a really good guide as to where she heads to next, whether it be the Flight, or freshen up for the Coolmore. She’s on top, but I’d prefer to watch than back.

I’m a leading member of the 5 Funstar (Bet Now: $3.90 TOP ODDS) fan club and I think she’ll run a beauty here. Just couldn’t quite reel in Yao Dash first up here two weeks ago when sitting off the speed. She tried hard, was good late, but that horse had it too good on speed and had race fitness. Think she’ll come right on from that and a bit of juice in the track is music to her ears.

3 Probabeel (Bet Now: $11.00 TOP ODDS) is a talented filly for Jamie Richards who resumed in the Furious and I thought got a definite pass mark in defeat when fourth to Libertini. 1200m is short of her best, so for her to run fourth, a closing fourth, was a big tick as she heads towards the Flight. Like her up to 1400m, does no work from the gate, has a stack of upside…can only see her running well.

7 Cascadian (Bet Now: $3.60) the Epsom winner? He can go a long way to making that statement correct with a win here. I thought he was very good in the Show County at a trip clearly short of his best, but loved the way he found the line behind Deprive. Note that Lizzie Jelfs said that out of the all the runners for the meeting, this was the guy she said was going to improve the most out of any. With that being the case, if he has indeed improved, he’ll do me here.

I think 5 Kolding (Bet Now: $5.00) has returned in excellent order and is certainly in the mix for the Epsom. He resumed behind Dreamforce in the Tramway and didn’t get a great deal of room in the straight but found the line strongly when clear. Think the handicap of the Epsom will suit him perfectly, but expecting him to be strong late here en route to two weeks time.

Giving respect to 6 Star Of The Seas (Bet Now: $5.50). Chris Waller trains this four year old, who had a very busy Autumn but raced so well at a good level. Spelled and resumed in the Tramway where he was back, wide throughout but kept finding the line and was excellent in defeat behind Dreamforce. Bit of juice in the track will really help his claims and he’s very reliable second up.

Have been saying for a couple of months that 6 Classique Legend (Bet Now: $3.20) is the pony to bet on re Everest. Hoping he can repay that confidence with an excellent showing here first up in what looks such a red hot race. He’s the boom horse leading into this and the Everest off the back of some outstanding work in his first prep during the Autumn. Fast run 1100m looks ideal and I just loved the way he has been going at the trials.

Stevie Wonder could see how well 3 Pierata (Bet Now: $2.70) went first up against the race/track pattern in the Concorde when second to Redzel. That horse got a cheap lead and on that track, was always going to be hard to run down, but Pierata ran sub 32 for his final 600m and got close in an amazing return. Any hint of improvement off that outing and he’ll take a power of beating.

7 Home Of The Brave (Bet Now: $11.00) is a very good horse when he’s right, so keen to see what he does here. Had two runs last time in and did nothing really at each outing, so he’s been given a decent break and I thought his trial behind Classique Legend was quite good. Likely sits outside Redzel and that pair will look to control things. This horse is very sharp when he gets his toe in, so a win wouldn’t totally shock.

He’s facing D-Day 2 Avilius (Bet Now: $3.10) and whether not he’s a legitimate Spring Carnival threat or not. Yes, he was wide throughout and did the work in the Chelmsford Stakes, but was still well held by Samadoubt, who seems a new horse this prep, but that form is going to get tested here. The big tick for Avilius is getting give in the track, and third up, he should be ready re fitness.

3 Dreamforce (Bet Now: $4.50) has to be seriously respected. Yes, the track pattern was in his corner first up in the Tramway, but he still had to get the job done and he did it impressively, leading throughout and giving his rivals a galloping lesson. Doncaster runner up who will land on speed and make sure that Samadoubt doesn’t get a picnic like he has the last two.

We’re going to get a good guide as to just how well 11 Verry Elleegant (Bet Now: $6.00) is going here. On face value, her run first up in the Winx Stakes behind Samadoubt was poor given she was back in the run and didn’t really show any zip, looking like a stayer. Hasn’t been sighted since but the bit of juice in the track will really help her cause and stepping up in trip, she can easily bounce back if she’s right.

I’ve had two early bets for the Melbourne Cup. One is Marmelo and the other is 18 Supernova (Bet Now: $4.80), a lightly raced import for Team Hawkes who has had a little break since resuming in the Rowley Mile at Hawkesbury where he finished off with real purpose late behind Gaulois in a very good return to the track. Probably needs to win this and a Metropolitan/Bart Cummings to get into the Cup field, but I think he can.

With a wet track in mind, I think 14 Maurus (Bet Now: $41.00) can run a cheeky race at big odds. He resumed in the Chelmsford two weeks ago behind Samadoubt on a pretty firm deck and I thought he closed off okay late in the piece. Only time he has missed a placed on a heavy track was in the Doomben Cup a couple of years ago behind Sense Of Occasion. He’ll run well I’m sure with conditions to suit.

1 Shraaoh (Bet Now: $46.00) may need one more run, but he’s certainly got the class to run an improved race. 1600m at WFA first up in the Chelmsford wasn’t his go but I thought he found the line well enough against the track pattern behind Samadoubt. Big tick up to 2000m and he’s yet to miss a place in four second up attempts, so at $51+, he is one I’d include in multiples.

Wet track and a wide gate should ensure clear air and I’m happy to have something on 4 Star Reflection (Bet Now: $20.00), who is resuming, and while her fresh record isn’t the best, she gets the claim for Robbie Dolan, draws out, which should be ideal come race nine and I thought she moved very well in a recent Gosford trial. In a tricky race, happy to have something each way on her.

7 Greyworm (Bet Now: $4.40) is a beauty for Team Hawkes and rarely runs a bad race. Bossy gave him the A1 steer at Rosehill three weeks back behind You Make Me Smile and once he presented the galloper with clear air, with his lightweight, he was always going to be strong late and that’s how it panned out. Bit more of a test here, but he is usually thereabouts and that should be done again.

2 You Make Me Smile… (Bet Now: $6.50) jump and run please. Those tactics were adopted at Rosehill three weeks ago and it worked. Just found one better on the day, just, in Greyworm, who had the suck run behind the speed and had a 3kg weight pull. You Make Me Smile has now found some positive form and he does have a good record at Randwick. Hard to beat if he leads and rolls.

BEST BET: Race Three Number 11 Junipal

NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 7 Cascadian

LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 4 Star Reflection

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 2, 3, 6, 7

Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 11

Leg Three: 1, 11, 12, 14, 18

Leg Four: 2, 4, 6, 7, 9

$50 Investment = 12.50% of the dividend if successful

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