23/4/2022 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Caulfield, The Showdown day

Big prizemoney is on offer for VOBIS horses at Caulfield this Saturday, headlined by the $1 Million The Showdown (1200m). The weather is fine, the track is soft (6) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.

The Showdown 🏆: View the Field and Odds for The Showdown

VOBIS Sires Guineas 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the VOBIS Sires Guineas

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6 Vasmee (Bet Now: $4.40 TOP ODDS) is an absolute beauty for Nathan Dunn that will give a bold sight on speed. Led throughout to win over this trip at Sandown last time, with sustained speed coming to the fore in an impressive. Drawn wide, but has the early toe to overcome it and prove hard to run down.

17 Pal D’Oro (Bet Now: $9.00 TOP ODDS) looks suited up in trip. Just found the mile a bridge too far two back at Sandown before being freshened up and going to 1300m at Bendigo where on speed and just lacked the change up speed. Like him up to 1400m and the big tick is John Allen back aboard.

18 Governor Landy (Bet Now: $14.00 TOP ODDS) is in career best form for Tony Noonan. He is looking to make it three on the bounce, the latest win being a spank job over this trip on the Hillside course at Sandown and he really powered to the line. Drawn tricky, more depth here, but hard to knock the way he’s racing.

2 Starelle (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS) is a quality mare that resumes for Danny O’Brien and could be dangerous despite being suited over a tad further. Ended last prep with a down the track effort in The Wave at the Gold Coast, looking like a tired horse after a long prep. Whatever she does here, she will improve on, but she has the class factor.

1 Sirileo Miss (Bet Now: $1.80 TOP ODDS) is a ripping mare for Symon Wilde that shared the spoils with Foxy Frida in the Bendigo Bracelet three weeks ago, with Olly pinching cheap splits on Sirileo Miss in front and if anything, it worked against her given she’s a mare who likes to roll and build the revs. If that eventuates here, she’ll take beating once again.

5 Comica (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS) commands respect. Ran over the mile here two weeks ago when leading throughout and she gave nothing else a look in, winning and winning impressively. Back to 1400m I find interesting with her, but she’s genuine, tries hard and seems to have a liking for Caulfield.

3 Tobaysure (Bet Now: $3.50 TOP ODDS) is a horse with good talent for Phillip Stokes. 2/3 this time in, both wins coming at Pakenham, including last start over the mile when leading throughout and giving nothing else a look in, though I will say fence in run has been gold in those night meetings recently. But, he’s got talent, in form and 1600m no issue.

2 Chartres (Bet Now: $4.50 TOP ODDS) has good upside to come and the rise to the mile looks ideal. Did a very good job fresh in the Zeditave. Had been nominated/accepted/scratched a few times subsequent to that but ran in the Bendigo Guineas three weeks ago and was good in defeat behind Gundec given he was fresh with topweight and nearer the inside, which wasn’t the best ground. Better set up here, he’ll take beating.

1 Blushing Tycoon (Bet Now: $13.00 TOP ODDS) is a hard horse to catch but his best is good enough to be around the mark. Didn’t mind his resumptiona t Flemington behind Fortunate Kiss before going to the Mornington Guineas where he seemingly had his chance and was just fair late behind Jungle Magnate. Third up, hard fit, this is D-Day for him.

6 Ain’tnodeeldun (Bet Now: $3.10 TOP ODDS) is suited up in trip for Team Freedman. Two runs back from a break have been strong, resuming behind Kissonallforcheeks at Flemington in a fast race. Then went to the mile here and was warming to the task nicely late behind Think N Fly. The rise to 2000m I do like and has a touch of class.

2 Grandslam (Bet Now: $2.25 TOP ODDS) is getting close to D-Day. Several weeks between runs since racing over 2000m at Flemington when near the speed throughout and battled away pretty well in defeat when third to Pondus. Overall, this is a thin race, and if he can land on speed without spending too many petrol tickets, he’ll be dangerous.

8 Agnelli (Bet Now: $9.00 TOP ODDS) gets an ideal map. Chris Waller trained gelding that was a month between runs when racing at Mornington a few weeks back where he was near the speed and perhaps not suited by the sit/sprint but was a pass mark behind stablemate Rousseau. Key threat from the draw.

Looks to be really good speed here, so it sets up for 2 Arcaded (Bet Now: $7.00) to launch at these late. Had a month freshen up prior to contesting the PJ Bell where she got back off the speed and chased strongly when a close up third to Heresy. 2/3 at the Caulfield 1100m and has class, plus has D Oliver steering.

4 Scissor Step (Bet Now: $3.20) is a Matty Ellerton trained three year old that was kept quite safe in betting when resuming over this track/distance a fortnight back and came with a well timed run under Daniel Moor to win and win impressively. Good return from a horse with strong form around him, so he commands respect.

3 Ice Pick Nick (Bet Now: $5.00) is unbeaten in two career outings for the Maher/Eustace camp. Arrogant debut win at Ararat but proved that was no fluke, spanking them from the front at The Valley with sustained speed coming to the fore. He’ll jump on the bunny and prove hard to beat.

1 Bello Beau (Bet Now: $2.60) is a quality juvenile for Adam Trinder and confident he can bounce back into the winners list. If you were on him at The Valley last time, apologies for bringing up the nightmare. He should have won and remained unbeaten but had zero luck when bolting for clear air. Better luck this time around and he’ll take a power of beating.

6 Rue De Palais (Bet Now: $19.00) has a good engine under the hood for Team McEvoy. Debuted in the Gold Rush at Bendigo three weeks ago where he was back near last in the run and despite never really being a winning threat, but was very good late. Love him up to 1200m and hard to beat if he’s within range 400m out.

10 Over Shady (Bet Now: $18.00) is a filly with talent for Matt Laurie and is a key threat. Peach steer from McNeil saw her all but win the VOBIS Gold Rush at Bendigo but was nabbed late by Hollerlujah, who came with a withering finale to nab her. 1200m a slight query, but should be okay with a soft trip.

12 Swats That (Bet Now: $2.30) just looks so well in here for Team Corstens. This is the easiest race she has contested in a long, long time, and her two runs back have been super. Good late fresh in the Lightning before heading to the Newmarket and kept finding the line behind surprise winner Roch N Horse. Back to this level, fresh legs, she’ll take a power of beating.

1 The Astrologist (Bet Now: $5.00) is a key threat. Ran out of his skin in the Newmarket when second to Roch N Horse. Then went to the William Reid and had his chance but far from disgraced in defeat behind September Run. Drawn wide, but no issue at this start and has a class edge on most.

6 Hightail (Bet Now: $67.00) is a hard horse to catch, but his best is good enough to be a knockout chance. Resumed in the Hareeba at Mornington and was far from disgraced I thought on a track that didn’t really suit him behind Not An Option. Draws to settle closer in the run and on a bigger track, an improved showing is on the cards.

3 Junipal (Bet Now: $2.60) is facing his D-Day I feel. He’s had a couple of runs back from a break, both at Flemington. First up was good late behind Junipal before a down the track effort in a high rating race behind Kissonallforcheeks. Third up at the Caulfield, bit of juice in the track, he gets his chance.

12 Adele Amour (Bet Now: $5.00) is a John Sadler trained filly that has had two runs back from a spell. Pretty plain return I thought at Sandown before getting the Blinkers and racing here two weeks ago where they seemed to switch her right on, producing a strong finale from off the speed to score. If she can build off that, she’ll take beating.

2 No Effort (Bet Now: $8.00) has good upside to come and loves Caulfield. Resumed in the Gold Bracelet at Bendigo when near the speed but being fresh, condition just gave way in a total forgive I thought. Has that run under the belt, can slide forward and with a touch of class, she’s in the mix.

Market will be interesting with 8 La Mexicana (Bet Now: $9.00) because 1100-1200m looks to be her sweet spot. Hasn’t raced since Cup Day over 1400m at Flemington where she just found seven furlongs a bridge too far behind Rich Hips. Sprinting is her go in life and with two jumpouts, she has to be given a definite chance despite the gate.

6 Pandemic (Bet Now: $18.00), you’d assume, is heading down a Goodwood path. Is he sharp enough to resume a winner? I’m saying yes. He can be hot and cold but clearly his best is good enough to charge at these late and blouse them. Form tapered off towards the end of last prep but has been given a good break and his trials have been great.

3 Not An Option (Bet Now: $31.00) has returned in really good order. Formerly with Tony Pike, she’s had a couple of runs for the Moroney camp, causing somewhat of a surprise last time out with a strong win in the Hareeba at Mornington when first up. You can only assume that a rise in trip with the run under the belt is only a good thing. Leading chance.

BEST BET: Race Five Number 2 Arcaded

NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 12 Swats That

LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 8 La Mexicana

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 6, 9, 10

Leg Two: 1, 12

Leg Three: 1, 2, 3, 12

Leg Four: 2, 3, 6, 8, 9

$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful

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