26/9/2020 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Rosehill, Golden Rose day

Group l racing returns to Rosehill this Saturday where it is Golden Rose Day. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

Golden Rose 🏆: View the Field for the Golden Rose

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I’ve got a bit of time for the Paul Messara colt 8 Temepl One (Bet Now: $5.00 TOP ODDS). Not sure he beat much when resuming with a maiden win at Scone, but he ran very sharp late splits, keeping in mind he was on speed as well. He’s beautifully bred and should love the rise to 1500m. Astute stable, so keen to see how he goes.

3 Cosmic Haze (Bet Now: $6.00 TOP ODDS) is a key threat for me. Brett Cavanough trained mare that was a bit disappointing when resuming in a Highway here behind Yulong Base. Came back to 1300m when racing at Scone and she chased strongly, just missing out on the win. Hard fit now and up to 1500m, if she produces anywhere near her best, she wins.

16 More Spice (Bet Now: $51.00 TOP ODDS) can be an improver here at a price. Was a real eye catcher first up at Scone before going to Muswellbrook where she looked to race a touch flat and was disappointing, but I’m putting that down to second up syndrome. Third up bounce back on the cards and stable is having a decent run in these Highways.

Bludger of a race. I think 3 Grey Lion (Bet Now: $6.00 TOP ODDS) is worth a speck here. He is four weeks between runs since racing in the Premiers Cup at Rosehill when back near last in the run and never a winning threat, so forget he went around behind Mugatoo. Good record at 2400m and the depth here isn’t strong at all, so I’ll have something on him.

Can you trust 5 Attorney (Bet Now: $4.20 TOP ODDS) now? Very disappointing last prep but his two runs this time in have been encouraging. Ran over 1800m here a fortnight back and I thought closed his race off pretty well in defeat when fourth to Badoosh. 2000m+ is when he finds his best, which he gets here, and he’s on track I think.

I could make a sneaky case for 8 Lord Fandango (Bet Now: $21.00 TOP ODDS) at big odds. I reckon Jeremy Gask has him going well. Ran in a pretty thin benchmark race here two weeks ago and yes, beat one runner home in the field of seven, but I think if he runs straight, he fights the finish out. Gets weight relief, finally, and should be close to peak fitness.

Looks a lovely race for the Chris Waller trained 11 Yonkers (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS). He has been excellent in two runs back from a break, the latest over 1800m here two weeks ago when not given much hope due to the negative ride and slow tempo, but finished off with real purpose late. Gets weight relief, a rise in trip and just about hard fit now.

Fitter and up to 1900m I do like for the WaterBott runner 9 Entente (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS). Ran over 1500m here two weeks ago and was slightly held up at a vital stage in the straight but when clear, she was good late behind Dishcarged, who won last Saturday to frank the form. Like him up in trip and hopefully can sit near the speed.

1 Morton’s Fork (Bet Now: $31.00 TOP ODDS) is the one that is silly odds and I could easily have something small on him each way. He brings the best form out of this lot having contested the Group ll Chelmsford last time out. Yes, he beat just two runners home, but he was really warming to the task late and hit the line with purpose. Gets in well after the claim and $30+ is crazy.

Each way, I think there is value in 2 Easy Campese (Bet Now: $9.00 TOP ODDS) for the John Sargent camp. He comes through the Dulcify behind Mo’Unga where he was coming back slightly in trip and I thought he found the line pretty well, with the clock agreeing, producing the best last 200m of the race behind the winner. Up to 1800m I like, lands on speed and will run a bold race I’m sure.

Very interesting runner is 3 Love Tap (Bet Now: $1.90 TOP ODDS), who is unbeaten in three career outings for the Freedman camp. Admittedly he has beaten nothing, but it’s the way he has put them away, especially his past couple, that has impressed me, and keep in mind last start at Goulburn Nash Rawiller made the trek for that ride. Think he can measure up and run a positive race.

7 Street Dancer (Bet Now: $12.00 TOP ODDS) is on the quick back up for the Anthony Cummings team after winning last Friday at Newcastle in what was a pretty weak Class One/Maiden, but he led throughout under a lovely front running steer from Regan Bayliss and was too good. Much harder here, but will put himself on speed and give his all.

Purely a throw at the stumps here at the big odds in the shape of 9 Rocketing By (Bet Now: $21.00) for David Pfieffer. Despite being by So You Think, he really has good speed in the legs, which was evident when he resumed with an electric win in a 900m maiden at Newcastle, running around 32 for his last 600m, which is flying, even for a 900m scamper. Can see the pressure going on in front here and him being strong late.

Fresh legs and back to 1100m I do like for 3 Kumasi (Bet Now: $20.00). Hasn’t really set the world on fire in two runs back from a spell, but keep in mind he has bumped into Anders and North Pacific respectively. Think he’s a sprinter and looked sharp in a trial win here last week, so I think he’s a definite market watch.

Can you trust 6 Encountabull? (Bet Now: $23.00) Returned as a gelding for the John Sargent camp at Kembla and he had to really dig in when required, but produced outstanding late splits to get up and win. He teased to be a good horse earlier in his career. Has the gelding operation done the trick with him? Watch the market.

Dry tracks are key to 5 I Am Superman (Bet Now: $3.50), a Team Snowden trained five year old that found a dry deck at Caulfeild a few weeks ago and he was strong and dominant in winning. Much harder here, but I think on a dry deck, he is more than capable of measuring up in races like this and is hard to beat.

Expecting a third up bounce back from 6 Looks Like Elvis (Bet Now: $4.60). Was one of the best lasts you’ll see when he resumed in the Show County. Then went to the Tramway and was good in defeat, but just that little bit flat second up. Third up now so should be close to peak fitness and off the resumption, he’s in the mix for sure.

Big watch here on the Team Hawkes mare 8 Scarlet Dream (Bet Now: $18.00), who resumes. I think just put a line through her last prep in the Autumn/Winter. Most of her runs were on wet ground and she’s a mare who doesn’t go a yard when her toe is in. Lone run on dry ground last prep was first up at Caulfield and she should have bolted in. One trial to get ready, noteworthy without blinkers, so keen to see her resume.

1 Rothfire (Bet Now: $1.85) does look to pick himself. Star Queenslander for Rob Heathcoate that announced well and truly he can match it with the big boys, spanking his rivals when resuming in the Run To The Rose. The ratings boys and girls say if he holds that figure he produced first up, he’ll win this and The Everest. The one to beat.

Team Hawkes are Grand Final trainers so I’m giving enormous respect to 5 North Pacific (Bet Now: $6.00). Put together a couple of electric wins to start the prep before going to the Run To The Rose where he was good in defeat when third to Rothfire. All things being equal, can’t see him turning the tables, but he’s in the right stable.

Doubt 2 King’s Legacy (Bet Now: $18.00) wins, but looking to see a positive run from him en route to the Caulfield Guineas. He did run last in the Run To The Rose, but he really savaged the line when the race was over. If he drew an inside gate, could almost be tempted to have him on top, but the wide gate likely means he goes back to last and finds the line.

She’s got an awful racing pattern but the engine under the hood of 10 Subpoenaed (Bet Now: $7.50) is a good one and convinced she’s flying. Comes through the Sheraco from two weeks ago where she again got back to near last in the run but finished off with real purpose late behind Haut Brion Her. Up to 1400m I do like…just hope she can sit closer in the run.

2 Haut Brion Her (Bet Now: $2.30) does look one of the hardest to beat, but could I take $2.50? No way. Not from the wide gate, even though she overcome it to bolt up and win the Sheraco two weeks back, running great time for a mare that was first up in a year. 1400m looks ideal for her. Just a query of second up syndrome.

14 Emeralds (Bet Now: $16.00) is another at good odds I could speck. Gave them a spanking to win at Cabterbury before going to the Mona Lisa at Wyong where she was back, wide with cover, and tried hard, but was never a winning factor. Can sit much closer in the run from the inside gate and is better suited on a bigger track.

It’d be easy to put Masked Crsuader on top, but he’s too short for me for a horse yet to prove himself and is priced on hype, so each way at near double figures, the bet for me is 1 Prime Candidate (Bet Now: $9.00). Just had too much chasing to do last Saturday at Randwick, dragging the field up to Partners, and in doing that, he was a beaten horse early on in the straight. He’ll lead this field for fun and give an almighty sight.

You can’t pen 5 Masked Crusader (Bet Now: $1.80) after his last effort. He was four wide for the trip and did a great job to finish as close as he did behind Fituese. But, connections think he could be a Golden Eagle, and last year, a rating of 100 scraped into the field, so he needs to win and win well to get his rating up. Could I back him to do it? At the short odds, no.

10 Mirra Vision (Bet Now: $11.00) is hard to beat for Team Snowden. Four year old mare that resumed over 1200m at Randwick three weeks ago and I thought was pretty good in defeat when a close up fifth to Crystal Breeze, beaten just over a length. She’ll love the rise to 1400m and is a second up winner so she has a bit going for her.

BEST BET: Race Three Number 11 Yonkers

NEXT BEST: Race Nine Number 1 Prime Candidate

LONG SHOT: Race Five Number 9 Rocketing By

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 5, 6, 8, 14

Leg Two: 1, 2, 4, 5

Leg Three: 2, 4, 8, 10, 14

Leg Four: 1, 5

$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful

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