28/7/2018 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Caulfield, Bletchingly Stakes day

The smell of Spring is definitely in the air this Saturday at Caulfield with a crack bunch of gallopers taking their place in the Bletchingly Stakes, with the 1200m contest highlighting a strong card. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

WATCH LIVE RACING AT

3 Ruban Bleu (Bet Now: $2.20) on top for me. The Hayes/Dabernig trained youngster has had two career outings, the latest coming four weeks back over 1200m here where he was luckless in the straight when second to the impressive stablemate Tony Nicconi. Should have no trouble with 1400m off that run and that does look the A1 form.

1 Social Spin (Bet Now: $2.10) looks a nice gelding for Darren Weir and his win at the Sandown midweeks, to the eye, very good. Times wise, no. John Allen got an absolute picnic in front and turned it into a 600m dash for cash. In saying that, his run prior behind the above average Poised To Strike was good and he has ticked the 1400m box.

7 Wild Flyer (Bet Now: $9.50) is a daughter of Starcraft for Henry Dwyer who debuted just under two weeks ago over the 1340m at Geelong where she was a notable drifter in the betting but finished off strongly late in the piece to just miss out on the win when second to The Closer. Only one win from the last 50 runners for the stable, so hopefully this girl can run well for them.

I’m very keen to see what 7 Miss Pandanus (Bet Now: $5.00) can do here. Outstanding debut win at Geelong despite starting $61 before going to Sale a couple of weeks back where she was slapped in betting and under Willow, she savaged the line out wide to nab Naantali on the peg. One of only three horses to break 35 for the afternoon and her last 200m was the quickest of the race by 2+ lengths, and Naantali franked that form. All over her.

6 Island Daze (Bet Now: $13.00) is a filly having her first run for the Grahame Begg team after formerly being with Mick Kent. This girl hasn’t raced since June 9 when finishing midfield over 1400m at Flemington. Now with Begg and she looked quite sharp to the eye when winning a Pakenham trial last week in good time.

4 Raspberry Rose (Bet Now: $18.00) is a talented filly that resumes for the Richard Laming team. This girl hasn’t raced since the Autumn Carnival at Morphettville when finishing down the track behind I Am Someone, who of course has Nature Strip, which reads well for this. Recent Cranbourne jump out looked sharp and appears ready to go fresh.

3 Mantastic…(Bet Now: $2.50) he’s going to be a good horse with time and maturity. Fresh after the race, I was disappointed with his effort behind Guizot. But upon reflection, his run was full of merit. Got going on the turn, circling the field, which enabled Guizot to get the perfect drag up. He’s becoming costly, but he’s running really well. Deserves a win and he gets his chance.

I reckon the tactics on 5 The Avenger (Bet Now: $8.50) will be fascinating. Ran over 1400m here a fortnight back and for mine Melham gave the horse every chance. Just was beaten by a better horse in Demolition. Has run well at the mile before…but does Melham roll the dice and go forward, or does he ease back, get on the back of Mantastic and attempt something similar to Guizot.

9 Netherfield (Bet Now: $27.00) had trialled up well prior to resuming in the Demolition race where he didn’t do a great deal in the run and was plain to the eye behind the Godolphin galloper. He goes much better second and he should get a really good run somewhere close to the speed, having a head start on some key rivals.

The class runner of the field is clearly 1 Merriest (Bet Now: $6.00). This daughter of Denman is resuming for Danny O’Brien who hasn’t raced since the Magic Millions for the Mares when fifth to Invincibella. Been given a good break but has had four jump outs to prepare, so to say she’s had a good grounding would be an understatement.

2 Just Hifalutin (Bet Now: $2.80) is a daughter of Reset who produced an unbelievable run first up down the Flemington straight in the Sprint Final, sitting last in an absolute crawl yet powered home to just miss out on picking up Camdus. 2/2 second up and back around a bending track back to mares grade, gee she looks well placed.

6 Chiavari (Bet Now: $21.00) is a Nick Harnett trained mare who is generally around the mark in these kind of races but the depth looks strong so in terms of a winning chance, I’d say no. But she can certainly fill a first four spot with luck in running, something she didn’t get here a fortnight back behind Sharpness. Chuck her in wider exotics.

If he ticks the 2400m box, 1 Mount Kilcoy (Bet Now: $2.05) should prove far too good for these. Unlucky not to win the Silver Bowl Final before backing up a week later over 2000m here and gee he was dynamic, winning like a really good horse. He’s got so much upside to come and on breeding, he should run 2400m comfortably.

3 Borella (Bet Now: $10.00) is a son of Pierro for Mick Price who is going along quite nicely at the moment. He got a mile back in the race won by Mount Kilcoy but I liked the way he closed off when running third. Not sure he can win given the depth engaged here but off last start, you’d have to say the 2400m will be ideal.

7 Dante Rosetti (Bet Now: $13.00) is the one to watch. WaterBott train this gelding, who does the hard yards on speed and looks to fight. Settled off the pace last time out at Gosford over 2100m against the older horses but got going on the turn, building up the revs and that is what won the race for this son of Sebring. He should lead this field, roll along and make this a true contest.

Landed with 5 Tuff Bickie (Bet Now: $8.50) but it’s a race I have absolutely no confidence in. This bloke is third up for Ken Keys, with his two runs to the start of the prep being more than satisfactory. The second run came over 2100m at Sandown when running a close up third to Thunder Cloud, who ran well last Saturday at Flemington to frank the form. Up to 2400m looks ideal and I reckon he’s worth something small each way.

2 Bondeiger (Bet Now: $3.20) is the class of the field but gee could I back him to win? Probably not. He is on the seven day back up after racing over 2000m last Saturday at Flemington where he was no match for the above average stablemate Sixties Groove. Two time winner at 2400m and this is a big drop in grade.

11 Almalita (Bet Now: $8.00) lacks the class and brilliance of some of these but one thing we do know is that she’s tough and will be fighting on speed. Did that last time out over 2100m at Sandown but was just outgunned late by the in form Tiffany’s Lass, who ran second last Saturday at Flemington, which reads well for this.

2 Vega Magic (Bet Now: $2.10) on top provided we get a good track. He showed in the Goodwood he hates getting his feet wet when it comes to taking on the big boys. Been given a break and the stable do want him to get into The Everest, so you’d have to think he’s wound up for this and the Memsie, and the recent trial indicates that.

1 Black Heart Bart (Bet Now: $11.00) is an absolute beauty for Darren Weir who has been an absolute warrior for a few years now. He hasn’t raced since the Ascot Summer Carnival when nearly coming down in the Kingston Town. Been given a long spell and he looks spot on based on the Coleraine trial win last week.

4 Jungle Edge (Bet Now: $15.00) has been the real feel good story of racing over the past 12-18 months. He comes back to Melbourne after a three run stint in Sydney, highlighted by a June Stakes win. He is a good fresh horse and he’ll be leading. If the rain hits Caulfield, gee he’ll take some holding out at a price.

The speed map says that 12 Remember The Name (Bet Now: $7.50) can potentially get a soft time of it provided she jumps and immediately rolls forward because if she gets caught wide here up the hill, she’s gone. Good run in the Silver Bowl Final off the slow tempo behind Mr Money Bags and that form has been franked via Mount Kilcoy and Gaulois. Hopefully she finds the leads, gets a cheap furlong and takes running down.

I’ll give 1 Snitzepeg (Bet Now: $4.20) some respect here. It was such an ugly watch if you were on him over 1400m here a fortnight back, getting badly bailed away behind the tiring leader and pretty much went around as if it was a barrier trial. He trialled last week at Ballarat and to the eye, he was awful, but he didn’t have the blinkers on. Different horse with them on.

5 Woulda Thought So (Bet Now: $17.00) is a son of So You Think for the Hayes/Dabernig team who comes through the Silver Bowl Final where he, like most, found it near impossible to run on from the back given those on speed absolutely crawled and it turned into a real dash. He’ll get back here again, but if they can run on, he’s in the game.

12 Call Me Handsome (Bet Now: $4.40) for me. Been on him in both runs this time in and for mine he should have won both runs. Stuck three and four wide throughout when beaten by Ashlor first up before not getting much luck in the straight at a vital stage when beaten a lip by Malaise. Third up, he should be ready and prove hard to hold out.

9 Malaise (Bet Now: $8.50) is a son of Helmet for James Cummings who comes here in ripping form. Just missed out on the win two back when narrowly beaten by Wenner before just getting the job done against open class horses over 1400m at Caulfield. Looks well placed here and he should prove hard to hold out.

14 Wenner (Bet Now: $19.00) has really turned the corner in recent times for Ken Keys. Toughed it out to win two back over 1400m at Sandown before racing at this track/distance where he was confidently supported and after sitting outside the speed, he took the lead and despite being strongly challenged, he kicked hard to get the win. Harder here, but has to be respected.

BEST BET: Race Five Number 1 Mount Kilcoy

NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 3 Mantastic

LONG SHOT: Race Six Number 5 Tuff Bickie

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 5, 11

Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 4

Leg Three: 1, 2, 5, 12

Leg Four: 2, 5, 9, 12, 14

$50 Investment= 12.50% of the dividend if successful

Bookmaker	Why Bet	Sign Up	Full Review
	Back Yourself with Ladbrokes!	Join	Review
	Back a Winner with Neds!	Join	Review
	Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review
	Sign up to swiftbet and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review
	Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review
	Sign up to Dabble and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review
	Sign up to MyBet and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review