3/7/2021 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Sunshine Coast, Winx Guineas day

The Sunshine Coast will host their biggest race day on Saturday, with three feature races across the nine event program. The weather is fine, the track is heavy (8) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

Winx Guineas 🏆:View the Field and Odds for the Winx Guineas

Caloundra Cup 🏆:View the Field and Odds for the Caloundra Cup

 

  ** POSTPONED **

Writing this preview on Wednesday, and with the significant rain forecast, I am doubting this meeting goes ahead. If it does, it’ll be a genuine Heavy 10. 3 Prospectus (Bet Now: $6.50 TOP ODDS) is an absolute beauty for Chris Waller and is just reliable, so he is the safe option here. Game second over the mile two back at Doomben before going to Ipswich Cup Day where he had the A1 run in transit under Craig Williams and once he got clear air, it was race over. Only has to hold his form.

6 I Could Do Better (Bet Now: $5.00 TOP ODDS) is a stablemate of Prospectus that has been a couple of months break since winning impressively over 1800m at the Gold Coast on testing ground, similar to what he faces here, albeit then he was hard fit whereas here he has fresh legs, but residual fitness and a nice tick over trial suggests he’s ready to go.

9 Great Powers (Bet Now: $26.00 TOP ODDS) is sneaky going well for Mark Currie. Wasn’t too bad behind Tumbler Ridge at Eagle Farm before going to Ipswich where she was good late without threatening behind Prospectus. Getting hard fit now and on the bigger track, she’s a knockout chance.

7 Shijin (Bet Now: $11.00 TOP ODDS) is a swimmer and does tend to only run well for Maddie Wishart, who is on here. He ran over 1350m at Doomben last time out when near the speed and fighting on strongly when a narrow second to East Asia. Was a month between runs there, so he’ll improve, he’ll be on speed and giving his all.

Big track, hard fit, this is D-Day for 13 Luna Mia (Bet Now: $18.00 TOP ODDS). Contender or pretender time. She was excellent fresh in the Helen Coughlan before going to Ipswich where I just don’t think she handled the tight track, so I’m penning that run. She’ll love the spacious surroundings this track has to offer and off her Helen Coughlan effort, she wins this. The negative being her wet track efforts have been plain, so not sure she’ll run.

14 Cabochon Lil (Bet Now: $34.00 TOP ODDS) is a Stuart Kendrick trained mare that resumes. This girl does like racing on her home track and you’d suspect being trained here, she’ll be ready to go fresh on a big day. Hasn’t raced since November 21 when at the end of her prep and looking for the paddock behind Star Of Michelin. Trialled up well and can sprint nicely on the fresh side.

Not a great deal of confidence here but leaning towards 5 Habib (Bet Now: $20.00 TOP ODDS), resuming for Mark Currie. This juvenile had a three run prep to start his career in the Autumn and each run he was hard in the market, so he was clearly showing something at home to be well fancied. Has trialled well leading in and on breeding, he should swim, and gets Brad Stewart.

1 Miss Hipstar (Bet Now: $4.80 TOP ODDS) has class and I think that along nearly gets her home. She was heading down the JJ Atkins path and things looked on track after a first up win in the Dalrello but as the depth/quality increased, she failed to measure up. Freshened up back to the short course, she has class on her side.

2 You’ll Be Mist (Bet Now: $6.00 TOP ODDS) is trained on the track and I think is best suited at 1000m. All three career wins have come at this track/distance, including a sharp first up win, albeit in a weaker race than this. She has run well at metro level previously and with the track/distance record, she is a threat.

5 Gee Tee Tee (Bet Now: $2.40 TOP ODDS) is three weeks between runs for the O’Dea/Hoysted camp and comes back to 1000m after contesting the Hinkler at Eagle Farm where he was plain after seemingly getting every chance behind Superium. He has a real liking for the Sunny Coast and a fast run 1000m looks ideal.

8 Bold Style (Bet Now: $4.00 TOP ODDS) has home track advantage and that should hold him in good stead for this assignment. Few weeks between runs since racing in a QTIS race at Eagle Farm where he was heavily supported late but thought he had hos chance when fourth to Tumbler Ridge. Back on his home track, loves getting his toe in, he’ll be hard to beat.

9 Bring It Home Pop (Bet Now: $14.00 TOP ODDS) is a Darryl Hansen trained sprinter that resumed at the midweeks at Doomben off the back of a sharp trial win. He was near the speed and battled on pretty well in defeat in what looked a pretty strong sprint race. Like him at 1000m and he’ll be strong late.

2 Superare (Bet Now: $8.00) has home track advantage and commands respect. Is 2/3 at the Sunny Coast, including a last start win here when off the speed and finishing best. He is yet to really run a bad race this time in and at his own age at his pet trip, he should take some beating.

1 Goldsborough (Bet Now: $4.40) is a handy three year old for Gary Duncan that has come back in really good order. Game third fresh in the Darby McCarthy behind Kisukano before going to the Sunny Coast where he looked a good thing on paper and duly saluted. Just has to overcome a sticky draw.

14 Bold And Lucy (Bet Now: $41.00) is a Garnett Taylor trained filly that resumes. This girl hasn’t raced since March 6 at Eagle Farm when far from disgraced in defeat behind Georgie’s Pride, who was competitive during the Winter Carnival. Resumes without a trial but being trained here, you’d assume she’s wound up to run a positive race.

I’ve always had time for 9 Tamilaide (Bet Now: $4.60) and despite a step up in grade/depth, I think he is quite capable of measuring up. Given a really ordinary ride from El Issa at Doomben last time out. Just far too negative and left the horse with far too much to do. Did a good job to get as close as he did. 1600m on this track on wet ground…I think he’ll take a power of beating.

12 Glitter Strip (Bet Now: $12.00) looks one of the hardest to beat. Tony Gollan trained filly that is three weeks between runs since catching the eye in the Gunsynd behind a potential Group l animal, Ayrton. The form around her just reads so well and has the runs on the board, so she commands respect.

7 Mob Buster (Bet Now: $16.00) is a Melissa Taylor trained three year old that ran out of his skin in the Gunsynd. He was totally unwanted in betting, starting $101, but he closed off well from of the speed to run third to Ayrton. Repeats that effort here and he’ll go close to winning.

4 Stockman (Bet Now: $1.75) is two weeks between runs for Joe Pride after bolting up to win the McKell Cup at Rosehill. He loved the heavy conditions and solid tempo, which ensured the best stayer would win the race, and that he was. 2400m on testing ground, survival of the fittest, he’s the winner barring bad luck.

You could understand if 5 Flash Aah (Bet Now: $7.50) had concussion due to the prep he has had, but credit to the horse, and the stable, he has been racing really well in tidy races, the latest being the Ipswich Cup when a close up third to Happy Go Plucky. The way he is going, he has to be included.

8 Victory Eight (Bet Now: $19.00) saves his best for his home track, which is here, so while I doubt he wins, I can entertain him as a first four threat. Didn’t think he was too bad two back behind Reloaded at Eagle Farm. Then went to the Ipswich Cup and was far from disgraced in defeat after getting back in the run. He’s one I’d include in wider multiples.

I want to give 4 Coventina Bay (Bet Now: $10.00) another chance. Kiwi mare that had a two run prep at Eagle Farm in the Dane Ripper and Tatts Tiara respectively and ran okay without measuring up, but perhaps she didn’t handle Eagle Farm, like some don’t. Like her on a genuine wet track, and she’ll be strong at the end.

Nothing wrong with the way 2 Emerald Kingdom (Bet Now: $10.00) is going at the moment. Surprised many with his BRC Sprint triumph but he proved it was no fluke in the Stradbroke when beaten only 1.9L by Tofane, who of course went on to win the Tatts Tiara last Saturday. That form is A1 for this.

3 Scallopini (Bet Now: $15.00) is an O’Dea/Hoysted trained gelding that was heavily supported when resuming in the Moreton Cup a few weeks ago. Thought he had a decent enough run in transit but couldn’t finish it off and was plain late behind Baller. Fitter and up in trip, he can bounce back for sure.

14 Nicconita (Bet Now: $11.00) is placed to advantage for the first time since joining Barry Lockwood. Resumed with a closing second at Warwick. Next two runs came at Stakes level. I thought she was excellent in the Lightning before clearly being outclassed in the Dane Ripper. If you overlook the Dane Ripper, gee I think she’ll take beating here.

8 L’Cosmo (Bet Now: $4.20) has the Vandyke polish and on the home track, is a key chance. Lovely on speed steer from Maloney saw her win the Sunny Coast Heat just over two weeks ago under the lights, just fending off Dreamreacher in a tight go. Reckon with something to chase, she’ll be more effective.

9 Jetski (Bet Now: $4.80) has been a real model of consistency since joining the Sears camp. Doesn’t win out of turn, but is rarely far away from the thick end of the prize, his last start being a closing third to L’Cosmo after getting back to near last in the run. Dangerous if he can settle closer.

BEST BET: Race Seven Number 4 Stockman

NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 2 Superare

LONG SHOT: Race Six Number 9 Tamilaide

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Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 2, 7, 9, 11, 12

Leg Two: 4

Leg Three: 1, 2, 3, 4

Leg Four: 8, 9, 10, 14

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful