5/11/2022 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Flemington, Champions Stakes day

Cup Week at Flemington concludes this Saturday, where it is Champions Day, headlined by Nature Strip vs Giga Kick in the Champions Sprint (1200m). The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out nine metres for the entire circuit.

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Landed with 5 Castlereagh Kid (Bet Now: $7.50) in the opener. GaiBott trained four year old that resumes, having not raced since the Australian Derby when leading and tiring on the bog track behind a star in Hitotsu. Much better suited on firmer footing, which he gets here, and with the Blinkers on, he looked to be bolting in a recent Flemington jumpout win. Hard to beat from on speed with Nash aboard.

14 French Emperor (Bet Now: $5.50) has really found a purple patch in recent times, winning his past two. The key has been firm ground and the two wins have seen that for him, the latest on Geelong Cup Day. If the track can dry out here, he’ll take beating in what looks a winanble race.

1 Winning Partner (Bet Now: $15.00) is sneaky flying for the McEvoy camp. Close up behind Visinari here two back before going to the VOBIS Gold Star where he sat back in the run before being presented wider and letting down with real purpose for a sharp win. Like him up to the mile and back to Flemington, he appeals.

8 Aesop (Bet Now: $2.80) deserves another chance. Good change up speed saw him bolt up two back at Sandown on Underwood Day. He then went to Caulfield where the track was absolutely bottomless and he failed to fire behind White Marlin, who looks a real Cup prospect for next year. Firmer footing, Aesop can bounce back.

Straight to 2000m I find very interesting with 12 Flash Feeling (Bet Now: $9.50) but he does look a progressive four year old for John Sadler that resumes. He ran over 1400m at Sale last time and I thought he warmed to the task really nicely late in the piece behind Prowling. Straight to 2000m, but this just wreaks of a set up, so watch the market.

1 Wyclif (Bet Now: $17.00) can improve back on a firmer deck. Didn’t think he was too bad two back in the Benalla Cup before going to Caulfield where the track was absolutely bottomless and couldn’t pick his feet up, finishing tailed off behind Port Philip. Hard to beat against these if he brings somewhere near his best.

8 Eponymous (Bet Now: $12.00) is racing like he will appreciate 1400m. He ran in the Gothic a few weeks back where he got back in the field and was never really a winning threat, but like the way he found the line late. Heading in the right direction and can take this out for sure.

3 Angry Skies (Bet Now: $6.00) to bounce back into the winners list. He ran three weeks ago in the Gothic at Caulfield and I thought couldn’t have been ridden better by Shinn. He gave it a 12/10 and just couldn’t quite get there when beaten narrowly by Sandpaper. Two runs on the bounce at 1400m, that should toughen him up for this.

Fitter and up to 1400m are two big ticks for 4 Kings Consort (Bet Now: $17.00). He resumed two weeks back in the Red Anchor at The Valley where the race shape wasn’t really to his liking but he stuck on well enough I thought behind Sejardan for a horse that clearly wants further and a bigger track, and voila, he gets both of those here. Definite winning threat.

To me this race is all about 11 Soulcombe (Bet Now: $2.80). If he brings over his UK form, he’ll win. Very progressive son of Frankel that makes his Australian debut for Chris Waller and he does look a potential Cup horse for next year. His UK form just reads so well, he’ll be strong late, handles all conditions…he’s the one.

2 Persan (Bet Now: $6.50) should be around the mark for the Maher/Eustace camp. This looks his level. He was assured a start in the Melbourne Cup but the stable said he wasn’t going well enough and want to give the horse some confidence. Held comfortably by Francesco Guardi last time, that was a tough run and should bring him on for this.

3 Sound (Bet Now: $26.00) is thereabouts. He ran in the Caulfield Cup and I actually thought he was far from disgraced in defeat after getting back in a slowly run race, he did make up some headway and was good late. Likely has eyes on the Zipping Classic, I doubt he wins here, but a first four threat.

5 Honeycreeper (Bet Now: $8.00) looks the best on the program and one of the best for Cup Week. All three runs have seen her cuddled this time in, and for the most part, there has been zero intent to win the race, the latest being last Saturday in the Rosehill Gold Cup. Hard fit now and back to Mares grade, good luck beating her I think.

6 Steinem (Bet Now: $19.00) is a quality mare for the Maher/Eustace camp that looks like she has been set for the race. Needed the run in the Let’s Elope before going to the Tesio and I thought she found the line pretty well late without threatening behind My Whisper. She’s been touted as a good horse for some time. D-Day for her.

I am a fan of 13 Glory Bound (Bet Now: $8.50) and confident she can measure up here. Former Kiwi filly that has been strong in two Australian runs as a mare. She was a real eye catcher at Sandown fresh behind Pascero before going to Caulfield and she was strong from the back when third to Sirileo Miss. Love her up in trip, hard fit, bigger track…she only runs well.

I think you have to butter up with 1 Nature Strip (Bet Now: $1.90). His Everest run was absolutely enormous, sitting wide no cover for the trip but 400m out, he looked the winner but the early burn just told late behind Giga Kick. He is a dynamite straight track horse and he’s a third up gun.

14 Giga Kick… (Bet Now: $4.80) is he the new kid on the block? 12/10 steer from Williams helped him launch late to win The Everest, producing a brilliant finale to wear them down. He’s also a gun down the straight and if he can get another win over Nature Strip, he’ll take the mantle, for now, as the #1 sprinter in the world.

Confidence is a wonderful thing and 9 Bella Nipotina (Bet Now: $6.00) is full of it after giving them an absolute caning in the Manikato. Yes, she saved ground nearer the inside but she showed good change up speed compared to the rest and the further the race went, the more dominant the win. Doubt she wins, but runs well.

2 Private Eye…. (Bet Now: $2.60) where has this come from? Like seriously…I thought he was a good 1400m/1600m, pretty good, nothing special…but this Spring, he’s stamped himself as a top sprinter. Beaten a lip in The Everest and he produced a sparkling turn of foot to win the Nature Strip last Saturday. Straight to the mile now and if he holds his form, he wins.

It’s hard to ignore 3 Cascadian (Bet Now: $6.00). He could have gone down the WFA path towards the Cox Plate but instead, James Cummigns has had the Blinkers on for these kind of races and dodge the big boys and girls. Dominant wins in Sydney, he’s primed to run well here yet again.

9 My Oberon (Bet Now: $4.60) might well be a star. Australian debut came in the Crystal Mile where he was wide no cover for the trip but he was just trucking under Johnny Allen. Just a matter of pushing the button and once he did, the race was over. He wants this track to dry out, but if it does, he’s a key threat. Then again, the track was wet at The Valley and he bolted up.

There is talk that 7 Anamoe (Bet Now: $2.15) is not as good as what his record suggests…he’s a Group l winner at 2YO, 3YO and this season as a 4YO, he’s won four Group l races from as many runs, culminating in the Cox Plate. He’s a champion and I think 2000m at Flemington will suit him ideally. The one to beat.

1 I’m Thunderstruck (Bet Now: $3.90) is a ripper for the Price/Kent camp. He was a game second to Anamoe in the Might And Power before going to the Cox Plate where he sat back and charged late when second to Anamoe again. He’s a Flemington horse and I think the last couple have confirmed that 2000m is fine.

10 Ellipitcal (Bet Now: $15.00) is the one with completely different form and has the pull in the weights being a three year old. He was given a 12/10 by Shinn in the Spring Champion and he was hailed as the winner but was run down right on the peg by Sharp N Smart, who ran so well in the Derby last Saturday. If you think the Cox Plate form is crap, this is the pony to look for.

I think the rise to 1100m is ideal for 6 Taunting (Bet Now: $4.60). He ran over 955m on Manikato Night at The Valley where he didn’t get the rub of the green when he needed it and I think with clear air, he wins instead of a close up second to Direct. Like him up in trip and with sustained speed, he’ll give a great sight.

20 Treporti (Bet Now: $4.00) is a Danny O’Brien traiend four year old that resumes and first up on Cup Week and finding J Mac, the intent is clearly there. The form around him reads very well for a race like this, his jumpout work has been strong and he will be strong late. Watch the market.

10 Picarones (Bet Now: $7.00) is a mare that has come back in good order for James Cummings. She found a pretty thin race last Wednesday on the Kenso track at Randwick where she looked a good thing on paper and duly saluted, giving them an absolute belting under Bowman. Interesting she comes back to 1100m but stable is absolutely flying.

BEST BET: Race Five Number 5 Honeycreeper

NEXT BEST: Race Eight Number 7 Anamoe

LONG SHOT: Race One Number 5 Castlereagh Kid

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1

Leg Two: 2, 3, 6, 9, 10

Leg Three: 7

Leg Four: 6, 7, 10, 20

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