Cup Week concludes on Saturday with Stakes Day and it will be a fabulous afternoon of racing, with the highlight being the appearance of the worlds best sprinter Chautauqua in the $1 Million Group Darley Classic (1200m). The weather is fine, the track is heavy (8) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.
[crownbetoffer]
Race One (12:20) : Racing.com Maribyrnong Plate 1000m:
Back Me: Valliano (Best Odds: $6.00) was very good in defeat last time out in the Inglis Banner (1000m) at the Valley when a close second to Dalradian. Trained on the track and drawn to be out of trouble. Hard to beat.
Big Danger: Gloriette (Best Odds: $4.40) is the interesting one. Debuts for Godolphin after a very slick trial win at Cranbourne where McDonald did travel out there to ride the trial, which I think could well be a good lead. Beautifully bred and should take some beating.
Roughie: Power Trip (Best Odds: $8.00) debuts for John McArdle after also winning a Cranbourne trial. She sat out the back in the trial before peeling out and letting down strongly to win the trial, and the times between the two are similar. Big watch on this gelding.
Quinella: I’ll settle on 1, 2, 5, 9
Trifecta: Boxed Trifecta numbers above
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Valliano to win!
Race Two (13:00) : Starlight Children’s Foundation Plate (90) 2000m:
Back Me: Velox (Best Odds: $3.40) was a bit unlucky two back in the JRA Cup (2040m) behind Escado before going to the David Jones Cup (2000m) on Caulfield Cup Day and working home well from the back to run fifth to Stratum Star. Significant drop in grade here and this looks a very winnable race.
Big Danger: Divan (Best Odds: $2.30) scored a strong win on Pakenham Cup Day before going to the Bendigo Cup (2400m) where he tried hard but had to settle for a close second to The Offer, who was one of the better runs in the Melbourne Cup. Back to 2000m suits and Olly remains on.
Roughie: Okahu Bay (Best Odds: $14.00) is a talented mare for Phillip Stokes who fended off her rivals strongly to win the Gawler Cup two back before running a game fourth to Excites Zelady in the Murray Bridge Cup. That horse went on to run well at the Valley, so the form reads well, she’ll be up on speed and stable should always be respected when sending horses to Melbourne.
Quinella: Keen on the 4/10 Quinella
Trifecta: 4-10/4-10/1-5-11
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Velox to win!
Race Three (13:40) : Queen’s Cup 2600m:
Back Me: Dandino (Best Odds: $2.80) looks the way to go here. He was the flashing light horse in all the major Group l races early on in the Spring before going to the Geelong Cup (2400m) where he was given every chance by Ben Melham but was no match for an impressive Almoonqith. If the track has give in it, it will suit the horse perfectly and he appears so well suited.
Big Danger: Secret Number (Best Odds: $2.50) is a Godolphin stayer from the UK who was here for the Cup but didn’t get in the final field. Going back through his form, he has raced alongside the likes of Spillway, Foundry and Royal Empire, and performed quite well. He will take some beating.
Roughie: Like A Carousel (Best Odds: $34.00) was one of the better runs of the beaten brigade in the Moonee Valley Cup (2500m) when getting a long way back in the run and finishing off okay late behind The United States and Melbourne Cup winner Prince Of Prenzance. That form looked suspect prior to Tuesday…now it’s the best form line in Australia.
Quinella: 1, 2, 3 and 7 should fight it out
Trifecta: Boxed Trifecta numbers above
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Dandino to win!
Race Four (14:20) : Hiltons Hotels & Resorts Stakes 1400m:
Back Me: Demonstrate (Best Odds: $6.00) ran at the Valley a couple of weeks back where he made up good ground in the straight to run third to stablemate and the impressive type Holler. Drops big time in class here, and despite the rise in weight, he look the way to go.
Demons
Big Danger: Ngarimu (Best Odds: $3.80) also rises in grade, but gee there was plenty to like about his debut win at Seymour where he sat back in the run before charging home to win with a fair bit of arrogance. Beautifully bred colt who could shape up as a real contender in the Sandown Guineas, and might pick this up along the way.
Roughie: Les Darci (Best Odds: $8.50) was outstanding against the pattern at Moonee Valley last Friday night where he got back before peeling wide and he just savaged the line in the straight to win in the last stride. The Freedmans and jockey Ben Melham are striking up a real combination at the moment and this horse does have his fair share of ability.
Quinella: Quinella: 1, 3, 4, 8
Trifecta Trifecta: Boxing up numbers above
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Demonstrate to win!
Race Five (15:00) : Antler Luggage Handicap (96) 1600m:
Back Me: Rhythm To Spare (Best Odds: $13.00) should be forgiven for his failure in the Sale Cup. He had to drag the field up to the tearaway leader and by the time he got to the leader, he was gassed and had nothing left. The two times he has run at this Carnival, he has finished midfield or better in the Emirates Stakes. This looks a great race for him if he can find his best form.
Big Danger: This is the easiest race Petrology (Best Odds: $5.00) has contested in some time. Form had tapered off a touch, admittedly at Group l level, but a recent Tatura trial was encouraging and he has placed two from three on soft tracks.
Roughie: King’s Dance (Best Odds: $5.00) resumed on Seymour Cup Day where he sat on speed and fought on well when a close up fourth to Sadaqa. His wet track form is very good and is a two time second up winner. Quinella: Lottery. Include 1, 2, 4, 12Trifecta: Boxed Trifecta numbers above
Quinella: Lottery. Include 1, 2, 4, 7, 8, 9, 13
Trifecta: Boxed Trifecta numbers above
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Rhythm To Spare to win!
Race Six (15:40) : Darley Classic 1200m:
Back Me: Chautauqua (Best Odds: $1.70) just looks the winner here and the $1.50 looks generous. Gave them a start and a beating in the Manikato (1200m), and that was arrogant. Don’t worry about track bias or a wet track, because he defied bias and a wet track to win the T J Smith (1200m) during the Championships, beating home arguably a stronger field. Can’t see him getting beat.
Big Danger: Terravista (Best Odds: $8.50) is here to defend his title. He was a solid winner first up in the Premiere (1200m) before going to the Manikato where he was completely luckless. Would not have run but should have finished closer. This has been his GF all prep, so no doubt he will be wound up big time to win this. Just not sure he can turn the tables.
Roughie: Buffering (Best Odds: $13.00) is a bulldog who will always bust a gut every time he steps out. He was super in winning the Moir (1000m) first up before going to the Manikato where he copped serious heat on speed yet fought on well when fifth. He will be up on speed and giving his all. Definite place chance.
Quinella: 1, 2, 3, 4, 8
Trifecta: 2/1-3-4-8/1-3-4-8
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Chautauqua to win!
[ladbrokesoffer150]
Race Seven (16:20) : Emirates Stakes 1600m:
Back Me: Bow Creek (Best Odds: $4.80) was one of the runs of the day on Cox Plate in the Crystal Mile (1600m) when making up a stack of ground late to run a close up second to Turn Me Loose. Gets a 1.5kg weight pull and a stack of upside. Looks the way to go here, especially with some give in the track.
Big Danger: Disposition (Best Odds: $8.00) was given an Olly special to win the Guvera Stakes (1400m) last Saturday, sitting back near last in the run before cutting the corner and hugging the rail to win impressively. It’s a formula that has been used successfully in the past by Lee Freedman and this horse looks one of his better Emirates contenders he has had.
Roughie: I underestimated Politeness (Best Odds: $7.00) in the Myer Classic (1600m). Not doing that here. She defied bias and a substandard record at the mile when winning that much deserved Group l. She will get a rain affected track here, tumbles in weight and is a mare in form.
Quinella: 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 10 and 11
Trifecta: Boxed Trifecta numbers above
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Bow Creek to win!
Race Eight (17:05) : Presto Matriarch Stakes 2000m:
Back Me: This looked the perfect race for Zarzali (Best Odds: $8.50) after her excellent effort in the Angst (1600m) at Randwick. That theory looks much better now after she won quite arrogantly on Tuesday as a short priced elect, and it was soft, so the quick back up will be no issue for mine, and I love horses that are on the back up in seven days or less.
Big Danger: Gee Lucia Valentina (Best Odds: $4.00) looks so well placed here. Classy mare that contests her easiest race since her three year old season. Has performed very well at the highest level, but now drops to mares grade and gets a much needed wet track, which she excels on. Looks extremely hard to beat.
Roughie: Pondarosa Miss (Best Odds: $9.00) is a Group l winner from New Zealand who comes down under after running well last time out at Rotorua when second behind another Group l performer in Celebrity Miss. The wetter the better for her, but she has class and prefers big tracks, so Flemington will be ideal.
Quinella: 1, 4, 5, 9, 13
Trifecta: Boxed Trifecta numbers above
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS on Zarzali to win!
Race Nine (17:40) : Emirates Airline Handicap 1400m:
Back Me: Reldas (Best Odds: $4.40) has been barnstorming in two wins from as many runs this time in, both coming at Moonee Valley. Little query on a wet track and he has to produce away from Moonee Valley, but if everything suits him, he looks the one.
Big Danger: Ulmann (Best Odds: $7.50) could also be an improver here at odds. He just got too far back in the Moonga (1400m) behind Vashka. Draws better and D Oliver on from an inside gate. Great knockout chance for mine in a tricky race to finish Cup Week.
Roughie: Timeless Prince (Best Odds: $12.00) is an absolute swimmer who comes into contention for mine. He has looked in need of the two runs this time in, but he drops 5.5kg from last start and will lap up the conditions here.
Quinella: 2, 3, 4, 8, 9, 10
Trifecta: Boxed Trifecta numbers above
Click here for a $501 FREE BET BONUS onReldas to win!
BEST BET: Race Six Number 2 Chautauqua
NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 2 Dandino
VALUE: Race Seven Number 11 Politeness
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 2
Leg Two: 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 10, 11
Leg Three: 1, 4, 5, 9, 13
Leg Four: 2, 3, 4, 8, 9, 10
$50 Investment= 4.62% of the dividend if successful.
We recommend BET365 for all Quadrella punters. Sign-up at Bet365 today for a $200 BONUS
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
| Bookmaker | Why Bet | Sign Up | Full Review |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Back Yourself with Ladbrokes! | Join | Review |
|
Back a Winner with Neds! | Join | Review |
|
Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes! | Join | Review |
|
Sign up to swiftbet and start betting in minutes! | Join | Review |
|
Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes! | Join | Review |
|
Sign up to Dabble and start betting in minutes! | Join | Review |
|
Sign up to MyBet and start betting in minutes! | Join | Review |
